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https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-finance-202/2019/10/17/the-finance-202-economists-project-trump-will-win-easily-in-2020-and-by-a-bigger-margin/
“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper outlining the findings, tells CNBC’s Brian Schwartz. “It’s about turnout.”
Mark Zandi. He's the guy at Moody's who famously failed to see the Great Recession and the collapse of the subprime bubble.
But assuming average Democratic turnout, the firm projects the 2020 map will look like this:
“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper outlining the findings, tells CNBC’s Brian Schwartz. “It’s about turnout.”
Mark Zandi. He's the guy at Moody's who famously failed to see the Great Recession and the collapse of the subprime bubble.
But assuming average Democratic turnout, the firm projects the 2020 map will look like this: