basquebromance
Diamond Member
- Nov 26, 2015
- 109,396
- 27,055
- 2,220
- Banned
- #1
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Not true. An inverted yield curve indicates a recession likely in the next 24 months... or six months ago. It’s reliable but imprecise. But, if you want fail proof consider this....
Q: how do expansions end? A: recessions
100% of the time
Q: how do all bull markets end? A:bear markets.
100% of the time.
Take that to the bank.
Well, gonna be interesting to see what happens in 12 months. They are saying the last time we had an inversion like this was in 2007, just before the economy tanked.
And, at the end of your link, it said that recessions generally take up to 12 months to happen after an inversion, they don't happen right away.
Gonna suck for Trump in 2020 if this article is right, because the economy is gonna melt down the last year Trump is in office, just like it did under Jr.
Not true. An inverted yield curve indicates a recession likely in the next 24 months... or six months ago. It’s reliable but imprecise. But, if you want fail proof consider this....
Q: how do expansions end? A: recessions
100% of the time
Q: how do all bull markets end? A:bear markets.
100% of the time.
Take that to the bank.
From the OP's link.........................
Michael Darda, chief economist and market strategist at MKM Partners, said in a note that investors should wait for weekly and monthly averages to show an inversion before they read it as a "powerful recession signal."
And he noted that on average, recessions occur 12 months after an inversion — not immediately.
The economist said that on average, recessions occur 12 months after an inversion. He's the expert, so I'm gonna listen to what they say.
Well, gonna be interesting to see what happens in 12 months. They are saying the last time we had an inversion like this was in 2007, just before the economy tanked.
And, at the end of your link, it said that recessions generally take up to 12 months to happen after an inversion, they don't happen right away.
Gonna suck for Trump in 2020 if this article is right, because the economy is gonna melt down the last year Trump is in office, just like it did under Jr.
Wow, will the coincidences ever cease?
Well, gonna be interesting to see what happens in 12 months. They are saying the last time we had an inversion like this was in 2007, just before the economy tanked.
And, at the end of your link, it said that recessions generally take up to 12 months to happen after an inversion, they don't happen right away.
Gonna suck for Trump in 2020 if this article is right, because the economy is gonna melt down the last year Trump is in office, just like it did under Jr.
Wow, will the coincidences ever cease?
They are salivating at the thought of a “melt down” just before the election.
Ever notice that for whatever is good for America is bad for Democrats and vice versa?
They face a huge defeat and they know it. Their only hope is something really bad happening which the media can pin in Trump.
Well, gonna be interesting to see what happens in 12 months. They are saying the last time we had an inversion like this was in 2007, just before the economy tanked.
And, at the end of your link, it said that recessions generally take up to 12 months to happen after an inversion, they don't happen right away.
Gonna suck for Trump in 2020 if this article is right, because the economy is gonna melt down the last year Trump is in office, just like it did under Jr.
Wow, will the coincidences ever cease?
They are salivating at the thought of a “melt down” just before the election.
Ever notice that for whatever is good for America is bad for Democrats and vice versa?
They face a huge defeat and they know it. Their only hope is something really bad happening which the media can pin in Trump.
It seems to me that the Swamp might be in control of such things.
Nothing surprises me now
God, that's CNN-stupid.