Absolutely and I based that on an analysis of the predictive models that demonstrates that they are unscientific.
Quoted from Toro:
For example?
Forecasting weather changes five years out is like forecasting who is going to win the Super Bowl in five years. Forecasting is inherently unstable in most professions. When someone says that the earth will be three degrees warmer 100 years from now, you should be highly skeptical. However, that does not necessarily invalidate the central thesis.
End Quote from Toro
When the central thesis is that the climate CAN be forcast 100 years into the future, demonstrating an inability to do so would seem to invalidate the Central Thesis. In 1988, the leader of the NASA Global Warming Alarmists, Dr. James Hansen, made 3 predictions based on 3 scenarios. The scenarios were based on the possibility that CO2 would increase, stay the same or decrease.
He then attached corresponding rises in temperature to the scenarios. The increase in CO2 produced the highest rise, the decrease in CO2 produced the lowest rise.
Reality, which was not on his radar screen, followed a highest rise of CO2 for the CO2 side of the prediction. The actual change in temperature was below ALL of his scenario predictions.
Conclusion? He didn't know what he was talking about. His Central Thesis was that CO2 drives temperature and that he could predict the rise of temperature based on the cause effect relationship between CO2 and the Climate.
He was wrong. His central thesis is invalid.
Below is a link to an article with that set of scenarios graphed along with the actual temps measured both by goround stations and by satelite. Please note that Hansen proffers a prediction of dire consequence and sticks to it even though it is also proven to be wrong.
A "scientist" that bases his opinion on his own beliefs rather than his research has departed from the scientific method. If a person considers himself a violinist, but can only play the flute is a floutist, not a violinist. If a person considers himself a scientist, but is unable to use the scietific method, is he still a scientist?
Please review this article.
A little known 20 year old climate change prediction by Dr. James Hansen – that failed badly « Watts Up With That?
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