georgephillip
Diamond Member
- Thread starter
- #21
Do you think it's likely western powers (US and UK) will have the same influence across the Middle East as they have had in the past?The composition of the new governments will depend on the religious and political groups that eventually take control, if you ask me I think that these new democracies will eventually be semi-democracies (like Iraqi with it's Sharia Law constitution). But some revolutions obviously will just collapse and be taken over by a military dictator in the end, just like in previous regime changes in the middle east.It seems like any new Democracies in the Middle East will be top-down in structure, at least for the first generation. I'm not sure how that will play out with the large numbers of young, secular and educated Arabs who see taking control of their own natural resources as a primary objective.
Economic class seems to be a driving force in recent uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt and Madison. If class war goes viral across the US and the globe, those of us still alive in 10-20 years might look back on today's US political leaders and see fanatics.
If the class war ever makes it to Russia, I don't expect to live long enough to see it. It's always seemed to me that a North American Economic Union consisting of Mexico, the US and Canada allied with Russia would be an effective counterbalance to India and China, but I doubt very much the gangsters running the former four countries are willing to share.
There wont be any new Democracies in the middle east.
Top down structures arent representative.
What about pan-Arabism?
A Semitic union (including Israel) stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates?