Check the Poll Game

GHook93

Aristotle
Apr 22, 2007
20,150
3,524
290
Chicago
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

Polls have Obama at 237 - Romney at 191 and 110

First, look at the leaning red states and can you HONESTLY see any of them flipping. Not a chance.
AZ - No way; GA - Not a chance; IN - The Red State in the north Nope; MO - Always Red; MT - No F'ing way with oil and SC - Biggest chance for D's but nope

Next look at the leaning blue and there are takers:
PA is in play esp now that that state is under a unjust act for smart voter ID laws. They are a hardworking blue collar state hit hard by the economy. This one is in play!
MI - Most like blue, but the Romney home state could flip.
NM - Voted in a Republican governor and was traditional a Red state. It could be in play, however, a low electoral state I don't see a fight for it!
OR - No a chance

For sake of argument let's say none of the likely one way flip (even though the likely Obama are in play and the likely Romney are).

FL - D and R used to split the two swing votes, Cubans and Jews. Cubans are still for Romney, but so will the Jews. Once the message gets out that Ryan nor Romney want to change the current state of medicare for senior, rather it's OBAMACARE and OBAMA that has stripped $780 BILLION from medicare, the seniors will flock for Romney. FL is an easy win for Romney!
O: 237 R: 220

CO - The morom population helps put it in play and the over 8% UE makes this traditional liberal state a red state for the night.
O: 237 R: 229

NV - Placating the pro-illegal state will help him win here
O: 243 R: 229

NH - NH loves Romney he killed it in the primaries and is extremely popular there. He will win it easily.
O: 243 R:233

NC - A blue state getting bluer. In for Obama.
O: 258 R: 233

VA - A red state and it's an insult to our intelligence that we are led to believe it's a toss up state.
O: 258 R: 246

WI - Walker's victory is an indication the direction the State wants to go and with Ryan on the ticket this is a blue state going red and not looking back!!!
O: 258 R: 256

OH - The state the calls the election. With the UE going to be over 8% the stagnant economy will push this hard working state to the economic minded president.
O: 258 R: 274

It won't be as close when Romney STEALS PA and it's 20 electoral votes!

Romney wins 294 to Obama 238!!!! Down with the socialist fool and back to prosperity!
 
Interesting... It's times like these I miss Tim Russert... He had it all figured out and all I ever had to do was watch one segment of him to be able to grasp the whole shebang.

IMG_1483-Text-1.jpg
 
FL - D and R used to split the two swing votes, Cubans and Jews. Cubans are still for Romney, but so will the Jews. Once the message gets out that Ryan nor Romney want to change the current state of medicare for senior, rather it's OBAMACARE and OBAMA that has stripped $780 BILLION from medicare, the seniors will flock for Romney. FL is an easy win for Romney!
O: 237 R: 220



:dunno:
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