- Banned
- #1
Almost a year ago, I first predicted a "brokered convention." I still think that is highly likely. But I am now predicting Amy Klobuchar will win Iowa. Amy was my original "dark horse" prediction, and she's got the "big mo" right now....Here's the take from LaDairis
1. The Bern has his "religious left" followers and is benefiting from the perception that he was smeared by Warren over the sexism issue. But Bern is "out there" and 77 and had a heart attack, and the DNC crowd hates him. I don't see him getting over 30% in Iowa. I'd predict more in the low 20s.
2. Low IQ Joe = I really believe the polls recently were fixed in his favor to hype the "impeachment" bull. This guy does not have it. He is dumb, evasive, arrogant, and too old. There is a negative effect on his numbers when he is out there, the more who observe him, the less support him. He may not get 10% in Iowa, and won't be higher than 3rd place.
3. Pocahontas = She rose, then she fell. Iowa Democrats are serious about winning. Pocahontas wins only the "joke candidate of the moment" contest. I think she has real problems getting over 10% in Iowa. They've checked her out, and they are running away in droves.
4. Mayor Pete = yeah, he is very smart, but he is also a young smartass who parrots the talking points without really saying anything, and while there are plenty of gay Dems in Iowa, gay Dems know black and Hispanic Dems don't vote for openly gay candidates, so he's "off a cliff" too, trouble holding 10% in Iowa.
5. Amy Klobuchar = she has that one debate where she was "shaking," and she has yet to explain that. Other than that "health issue" yet to be IDed, Amy is by far the "sanest" and most qualified to actually win a general election, and that's what the 40% undecided Dem Iowans want = to win. If Dems want to win, Amy is their girl. She is smarter than Hillary with under 1% of the baggage. Trump runs the danger of believing she is Hillary 2.0 and she is not. She's at 13% in the latest Iowa poll, and those "undecideds" actually care who the NYT endorses, even if you and I do not
1. The Bern has his "religious left" followers and is benefiting from the perception that he was smeared by Warren over the sexism issue. But Bern is "out there" and 77 and had a heart attack, and the DNC crowd hates him. I don't see him getting over 30% in Iowa. I'd predict more in the low 20s.
2. Low IQ Joe = I really believe the polls recently were fixed in his favor to hype the "impeachment" bull. This guy does not have it. He is dumb, evasive, arrogant, and too old. There is a negative effect on his numbers when he is out there, the more who observe him, the less support him. He may not get 10% in Iowa, and won't be higher than 3rd place.
3. Pocahontas = She rose, then she fell. Iowa Democrats are serious about winning. Pocahontas wins only the "joke candidate of the moment" contest. I think she has real problems getting over 10% in Iowa. They've checked her out, and they are running away in droves.
4. Mayor Pete = yeah, he is very smart, but he is also a young smartass who parrots the talking points without really saying anything, and while there are plenty of gay Dems in Iowa, gay Dems know black and Hispanic Dems don't vote for openly gay candidates, so he's "off a cliff" too, trouble holding 10% in Iowa.
5. Amy Klobuchar = she has that one debate where she was "shaking," and she has yet to explain that. Other than that "health issue" yet to be IDed, Amy is by far the "sanest" and most qualified to actually win a general election, and that's what the 40% undecided Dem Iowans want = to win. If Dems want to win, Amy is their girl. She is smarter than Hillary with under 1% of the baggage. Trump runs the danger of believing she is Hillary 2.0 and she is not. She's at 13% in the latest Iowa poll, and those "undecideds" actually care who the NYT endorses, even if you and I do not