California Dems in Red Districts Not Polling Well

[kyzr]

The GOP only needs to flip about 20 seats to take back the House.
There are 40 dems in districts that Trump won in 2016.
Its very possible for the House to flip back to the GOP.

At this point I'd say that is a given.

Based on what? The election is 11 months away. A lot of things can happen between now and then. Nothing is a given this far out.

True, but historically speaking, if Trump can motivate his base, and the democrats don't put up a quality candidate, Trump should have coat-tails.

 

[Moi621]

I recently heard a claim by a political pundit about T.J. Cox, who picked up the 21st Congressional District in California by defeating incumbent Republican David Valadao, doing poorly in recent polling. Turns out it was correct. A July poll showed Cox losing by 16 points to Valadao in a rematch in a district that leans Democratic

In Orange County, Democrat Gil Cisneros is narrowly losing by two points to a generic Republican challenger. Republican Young Kim, who he narrowly defeated last year after absentee ballots came in, is running for the seat again. Cisneros has a 34% favorable rating.

Also in Orange County, Harley Rouda, who defeated Dana Rohrabacher is tied with Republican challenger Michelle Steele 42% - 42%. Just 28% said they wanted to reelect Rouda.

It's worth noting that impeachment is not polling well in Orange County either.

New GOP polling also gives credence to Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s warnings against a rush to impeach President Trump. An NRCC poll of five battleground districts across the country, including Cisneros’ and that of Democrat Katie Porter, found support for impeachment hovering between 29% and 35% in each district. Those opposing ranged from 57% to 60% in the same districts.

Voters in California’s 39th District oppose impeachment by wide margins with 34% supporting and 57% opposing.

Calif. Dem Who Flipped GOP Seat in '18 Trails in New Poll | RealClearPolitics

These are interesting results because while people may not have the highest opinion of Trump, they don't seem to like their newly elected Democratic representatives either. The fact they've spent their entire first year in Congress working on almost nothing but impeachment might have something to do with it. Next year's elections are going to see a lot of activity.

Orange County, California voters
were victims of Ballot Harvesting.
Illegal in many States but the "blues" love it.

Register a voter, no qualification check.
Help them with their ballot and carry it for them to the ballot box.
Indeed -

This is not the behavior of the Democratic Party I use to support.


Moi

 

[pyetro]

This is a Dem incumbent in a red district. Republicans supposed to be ahead.

According to who?

Did you just ask me why a republican is supposed to be ahead in a red district?
Do you know what a red district is?
If you keep asking idiotic questions I'm going to Cocksmack you.