Old Rocks
Diamond Member
[1] The magnitude and feedbacks of future methane release from the Arctic region are unknown. Despite limited documentation of potential future releases associated with thawing permafrost and degassing methane hydrates, the large potential for future methane releases calls for improved understanding of the interaction of a changing climate with processes in the Arctic and chemical feedbacks in the atmosphere. Here we apply a “state of the art” atmospheric chemistry transport model to show that large emissions of CH4 would likely have an unexpectedly large impact on the chemical composition of the atmosphere and on radiative forcing (RF). The indirect contribution to RF of additional methane emission is particularly important. It is shown that if global methane emissions were to increase by factors of 2.5 and 5.2 above current emissions, the indirect contributions to RF would be about 250% and 400%, respectively, of the RF that can be attributed to directly emitted methane alone. Assuming several hypothetical scenarios of CH4release associated with permafrost thaw, shallow marine hydrate degassing, and submarine landslides, we find a strong positive feedback on RF through atmospheric chemistry. In particular, the impact of CH4 is enhanced through increase of its lifetime, and of atmospheric abundances of ozone, stratospheric water vapor, and CO2 as a result of atmospheric chemical processes. Despite uncertainties in emission scenarios, our results provide a better understanding of the feedbacks in the atmospheric chemistry that would amplify climate warming.
And some of the chemistry;
3. Atmospheric CH4 Oxidation
[27] This section provides a brief description of the atmospheric chemistry leading to the formation of greenhouse gases from CH4emissions.
[28] CH4 oxidation leads to enhanced formation of ozone in the troposphere and lower stratosphere through a sequence of reactions involving NOx compounds. The CH3 resulting from reaction (R1) is oxidized and the reaction products are photolyzed in the presence of sunlight:
Strong atmospheric chemistry feedback to climate warming from Arctic methane emissions - Isaksen - 2011 - Global Biogeochemical Cycles - Wiley Online Library
And some of the chemistry;
3. Atmospheric CH4 Oxidation
[27] This section provides a brief description of the atmospheric chemistry leading to the formation of greenhouse gases from CH4emissions.
[28] CH4 oxidation leads to enhanced formation of ozone in the troposphere and lower stratosphere through a sequence of reactions involving NOx compounds. The CH3 resulting from reaction (R1) is oxidized and the reaction products are photolyzed in the presence of sunlight:
Strong atmospheric chemistry feedback to climate warming from Arctic methane emissions - Isaksen - 2011 - Global Biogeochemical Cycles - Wiley Online Library