2014 battle for control of the US Senate

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Statistikhengst, Aug 11, 2014.

  1. Statistikhengst
    Offline

    Statistikhengst תיקון עולם, this will never end Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    46,264
    Thanks Received:
    11,315
    Trophy Points:
    2,070
    Location:
    deep within the statistical brain!!
    Ratings:
    +23,649
    Logically, the highest voter count in mid-term years will be from the HOR elections, since all 50 states are in the mix. But I do find it helpful to compare all three major types of elections.
     
  2. NLT
    Offline

    NLT Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2011
    Messages:
    30,873
    Thanks Received:
    6,487
    Trophy Points:
    1,170
    Ratings:
    +30,006
    [​IMG]

    :dance:
     
  3. WelfareQueen
    Offline

    WelfareQueen Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Sep 4, 2013
    Messages:
    11,181
    Thanks Received:
    5,178
    Trophy Points:
    415
    Location:
    Uranus
    Ratings:
    +10,416

    Me too. The President was complaining in his press conference yesterday that 2/3 of voters didn't show up....but an analyst immediately said the President was basically lying and the numbers were quite a bit higher.

    But of course, no number was mentioned. :(


    I would really like to know. I have a link that says the lowest turnout Nationally was Indiana at 36.6% and the highest was Maine at 59.3%. So I guess all I can say is clearly the President lied again. Shocking!!! But the final turnout number I cannot find.

    Here's a link to the data I could find.


    We Had The Lowest Voter Turnout Since 1940 s
     
  4. Statistikhengst
    Offline

    Statistikhengst תיקון עולם, this will never end Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    46,264
    Thanks Received:
    11,315
    Trophy Points:
    2,070
    Location:
    deep within the statistical brain!!
    Ratings:
    +23,649
    When the final canvasses are in, then we will know for sure.

    Gesendet von meinem GT-I9515 mit Tapatalk
     
  5. WelfareQueen
    Offline

    WelfareQueen Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Sep 4, 2013
    Messages:
    11,181
    Thanks Received:
    5,178
    Trophy Points:
    415
    Location:
    Uranus
    Ratings:
    +10,416

    I bolded the key preliminary stat above. The pollsters used a +2-2.3% GOP turnout model. The actual margin is close to 5%. It appears they were off roughly 100% or more.

    A terrible performance that will require a detailed explanation.
     
  6. Derideo_Te
    Offline

    Derideo_Te Je Suis Charlie

    Joined:
    Mar 2, 2013
    Messages:
    20,464
    Thanks Received:
    7,286
    Trophy Points:
    360
    Ratings:
    +12,088
    Calling someone a liar for the difference between 33.3% and 36.6%? If I were going to round it up for the benefit of a press conference I would have gone with 2/3 rds myself so you can call me a liar too.
     
  7. WelfareQueen
    Offline

    WelfareQueen Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Sep 4, 2013
    Messages:
    11,181
    Thanks Received:
    5,178
    Trophy Points:
    415
    Location:
    Uranus
    Ratings:
    +10,416
    Found data that claims preliminary voter turnout Nationally was 36.6% which is likely to go quite a bit higher.


    [​IMG]
     
  8. WelfareQueen
    Offline

    WelfareQueen Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Sep 4, 2013
    Messages:
    11,181
    Thanks Received:
    5,178
    Trophy Points:
    415
    Location:
    Uranus
    Ratings:
    +10,416

    He was butt hurt and fudged the numbers to make himself feel better. And no....he was not telling the truth.
     

Share This Page

Search tags for this page
2014 control of the senate site
,
battle for the us senate
,
la susa oak creek
,
senatorialstatistic
,

who will angus king caucus with