JimBowie1958
Old Fogey
- Sep 25, 2011
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Well, I think they under-estimate the impact of this.
White House: Robots may take half of our jobs, and we should embrace it
The Report is only looking maybe ten years into the future and touts the advantages of higher education and training for the new jobs of the Robotics Revolution, building and maintaining and robot design, but that will be a very short career for most Americans. The jobs of the Robotics Revolution will not make good fodder for careers for the vast majority as Strong AI makes even their jobs automated as well.
We need to think out of the box this generation and take a new approach.
White House: Robots may take half of our jobs, and we should embrace it
But the authors of the report acknowledge that there are countless unknowns, from what the effects could be, to how quickly they’ll arrive.
“Researchers’ estimates on the scale of threatened jobs over the next decade or two range from 9% to 47%,” they write, but add that the economy has always proved to be resilient to take existing rates of change and shrinking of industry in stride.
What’s more, robots can make economies more efficient. The authors cite a 2015 paper that found robots added an average 0.4% to GDP growth in 17 countries between 1993 and 2007.
(“Productivity” can sound arbitrary and dry, but, as the authors write, greater productivity in the economy translates into better living standards.)
Still, the people who will lose out to artificial intelligence are the most vulnerable: those with less education, in lower wage jobs, such as driving and house cleaning.
“Researchers’ estimates on the scale of threatened jobs over the next decade or two range from 9% to 47%,” they write, but add that the economy has always proved to be resilient to take existing rates of change and shrinking of industry in stride.
What’s more, robots can make economies more efficient. The authors cite a 2015 paper that found robots added an average 0.4% to GDP growth in 17 countries between 1993 and 2007.
(“Productivity” can sound arbitrary and dry, but, as the authors write, greater productivity in the economy translates into better living standards.)
Still, the people who will lose out to artificial intelligence are the most vulnerable: those with less education, in lower wage jobs, such as driving and house cleaning.
The Report is only looking maybe ten years into the future and touts the advantages of higher education and training for the new jobs of the Robotics Revolution, building and maintaining and robot design, but that will be a very short career for most Americans. The jobs of the Robotics Revolution will not make good fodder for careers for the vast majority as Strong AI makes even their jobs automated as well.
We need to think out of the box this generation and take a new approach.