Presidential Elections and the Stock Market

[Mac1958]

For Election Day, a little FYI. Generally speaking, presidential elections don't affect the stock market all that much. As usual, the stock market has been choppy in the days leading up to this.

What the stock market DOESN'T like is uncertainty, and that's usually cleared up with the results and then it follows the path it was on: Corporate earnings. Taken as a whole, the market knows that the political talk is largely bullshit. What drives the market in the long run is, again, corporate earnings.

Would a contested election, violence, and madness create uncertainty for the market? Probably, but not permanently. Both Harris and Trump propose things the market doesn't care much for.

TBD, as usual. We'll see. No one has a crystal ball, even if they tell you they do.

How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market | U.S. Bank

U.S. Bank offers a perspective on how presidential elections have affected the stock market historically.

www.usbank.com

 

[candycorn]

The old saying--“If you want to live like a Republican, you’d better vote like a Democrat.” Not so true anymore since republicanism is starting to more resemble the bunkhouse on Yellowstone than the Bing Crosby Pro-Am. But for the investor class, the stockmarket has done very well under both Obama and Biden.

 

[Mac1958]

 

[luiza]

Obviously the Polls are a joke .
But we know Trump has won and if anybody has any doubt look at the markets --
They would have dropped very noticeably if the people with the real info knew Harris was going to prevail .

If I have to eat my words, it will be an entirely new type of experience ,
from Aunt Luiza's favourite son , Jesus , on the shore in Galilee

 

[Mac1958]

Trump's clear win quickly eliminates the uncertainty I mentioned. Markets should like this, big time.

Then we get back to the foundation of the stock market: Corporate earnings.

 

[Mortis]

For Election Day, a little FYI. Generally speaking, presidential elections don't affect the stock market all that much. As usual, the stock market has been choppy in the days leading up to this.

What the stock market DOESN'T like is uncertainty, and that's usually cleared up with the results and then it follows the path it was on: Corporate earnings. Taken as a whole, the market knows that the political talk is largely bullshit. What drives the market in the long run is, again, corporate earnings.

Would a contested election, violence, and madness create uncertainty for the market? Probably, but not permanently. Both Harris and Trump propose things the market doesn't care much for.

TBD, as usual. We'll see. No one has a crystal ball, even if they tell you they do.

How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market | U.S. Bank

U.S. Bank offers a perspective on how presidential elections have affected the stock market historically.

www.usbank.com

The Dow Futures is surging to 1,100 points!

The markets love Trump!

 

[sealybobo]

For Election Day, a little FYI. Generally speaking, presidential elections don't affect the stock market all that much. As usual, the stock market has been choppy in the days leading up to this.

What the stock market DOESN'T like is uncertainty, and that's usually cleared up with the results and then it follows the path it was on: Corporate earnings. Taken as a whole, the market knows that the political talk is largely bullshit. What drives the market in the long run is, again, corporate earnings.

Would a contested election, violence, and madness create uncertainty for the market? Probably, but not permanently. Both Harris and Trump propose things the market doesn't care much for.

TBD, as usual. We'll see. No one has a crystal ball, even if they tell you they do.

How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market | U.S. Bank

U.S. Bank offers a perspective on how presidential elections have affected the stock market historically.

www.usbank.com

I'm glad you already started a thread. For 4 years we've been saying Biden's doing great. Look at the stock market. Republicans never accepted that. Today, they ignorantly say "look at the stock market" believing that Wall Street is happy Trump won. They are just happy it wasn't a contested election. That's all. Let's see what happens to the Stock Market when Trump enacts Project 2025 on us on January 6th. Will it go up? I think it will go down. They promised temporary pain will come with fixing what's wrong with America.

Hey Americans, you asked for it. Now get ready for the temporary pain.

Kamala's solution only required "pain" come from people who make over $400,000 a year. Americans said nope. We will pay. Don't make Elon Musk pay.

 

[sealybobo]

For Election Day, a little FYI. Generally speaking, presidential elections don't affect the stock market all that much. As usual, the stock market has been choppy in the days leading up to this.

What the stock market DOESN'T like is uncertainty, and that's usually cleared up with the results and then it follows the path it was on: Corporate earnings. Taken as a whole, the market knows that the political talk is largely bullshit. What drives the market in the long run is, again, corporate earnings.

Would a contested election, violence, and madness create uncertainty for the market? Probably, but not permanently. Both Harris and Trump propose things the market doesn't care much for.

TBD, as usual. We'll see. No one has a crystal ball, even if they tell you they do.

How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market | U.S. Bank

U.S. Bank offers a perspective on how presidential elections have affected the stock market historically.

www.usbank.com

Omg, you don’t know how many republicans have said to me “have you seen the stock market?” these last few days?

But when we showed them this what did they say?

Household wealth swelled at a record pace during the pandemic. From 2019 to 2022, the median net worth of American families jumped 37% to $192,900, after adjusting for inflation. It’s the largest increase ever recorded by the federal Survey of Consumer Finances, released last fall. Surging home values and rising stock ownership fed the surge.

So Republicans, remember what you said on Biden’s watch. You said yea but the little guy can’t afford groceries or rent. Don’t forget you didn’t care when Biden was president. What about all the other things wrong with our economy? Which is people making less than $60,000 a year.

 

[Mac1958]

Omg, you don’t know how many republicans have said to me “have you seen the stock market?” these last few days?

But when we showed them this what did they say?

Household wealth swelled at a record pace during the pandemic. From 2019 to 2022, the median net worth of American families jumped 37% to $192,900, after adjusting for inflation. It’s the largest increase ever recorded by the federal Survey of Consumer Finances, released last fall. Surging home values and rising stock ownership fed the surge.

So Republicans, remember what you said on Biden’s watch. You said yea but the little guy can’t afford groceries or rent. Don’t forget you didn’t care when Biden was president. What about all the other things wrong with our economy? Which is people making less than $60,000 a year.

These folks, like their McSavior, are essentially illiterate on economics and markets. They have zero (0) ability to engage in honest, serious, informed, non-ideological analysis of economies and markets. There is no better example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect than a Trumpster lecturing us on this stuff.

This was my profession for 23+ years. 24/7/365. I sold my practice and retired two years ago. I'll still neck deep in it because I invest, and I take it seriously. I avoid talking economics with them because it's so goddamn depressing. To hell with it. They can think whatever the hell they want.

 

[initforme]

I'm glad you already started a thread. For 4 years we've been saying Biden's doing great. Look at the stock market. Republicans never accepted that. Today, they ignorantly say "look at the stock market" believing that Wall Street is happy Trump won. They are just happy it wasn't a contested election. That's all. Let's see what happens to the Stock Market when Trump enacts Project 2025 on us on January 6th. Will it go up? I think it will go down. They promised temporary pain will come with fixing what's wrong with America.

Hey Americans, you asked for it. Now get ready for the temporary pain.

Kamala's solution only required "pain" come from people who make over $400,000 a year. Americans said nope. We will pay. Don't make Elon Musk pay.

The temporary hardship stuff is scary. Doesn't need to happen. I'm not sure how favorably it will.be accepted. People didn't vote for harship.