Predict the Electoral Vote

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Someone suggested it might be a good idea to have a thread where people can predict the outcome of the presidential race. Sites like 270toWin have interactive maps that you can manipulate. There are others as well.

270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map

Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential election

www.270towin.com

This is the current default

 

[Mac1958]

At the moment, being lousy at predicting elections, I've got the swing states going this way:

Trump
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania

Harris
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Minnesota

So:
Trump 271
Harris 267

 

[DakotaKai_fan20]

At the moment, being lousy at predicting elections, I've got the swing states going this way:

Trump
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania

Harris
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Minnesota

So:
Trump 271
Harris 267

North Carolina will be Red. So a little more for Trump. Also Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan typically vote for the same party, I say Trump has Wisconsin.

 

[Blaster]

The electoral vote will go for Trump because of the poor economy.

 

[Rambunctious]

Trump 312
Harris 226
GOP takes the senate and holds the house...

270toWin - 2028 Presidential Election Interactive Map

Create your own forecast for the 2028 presidential election

www.270towin.com

 

[Vrenn]

At the moment, being lousy at predicting elections, I've got the swing states going this way:

Trump
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania

Right now, Harris is leading by a very narrow margin in Penn. tRump needs to win all 4 of these swing states and may be having trouble even with Arizona and Georgia.

Harris
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Minnesota

So:
Trump 271
Harris 267

 

[Mac1958]

Right now, Harris is leading by a very narrow margin in Penn. tRump needs to win all 4 of these swing states and may be having trouble even with Arizona and Georgia.

I'm factoring in the possibility that there will be a percentage of people who won't admit to pollsters that they're voting for Trump, as before.

Overall though, my record at picking elections is roughly equal to my record of picking football scores, so...

 

[Vrenn]

I'm factoring in the possibility that there will be a percentage of people who won't admit to pollsters that they're voting for Trump, as before.

Overall though, my record at picking elections is roughly equal to my record of picking football scores, so...

Do you mean we may end up with Pat Paulson afterall as President? Hey, many claim dead people can vote. Why not have them vote for a Dead Comedian.

 

[JoeMoma]

I'm factoring in the possibility that there will be a percentage of people who won't admit to pollsters that they're voting for Trump, as before.

Overall though, my record at picking elections is roughly equal to my record of picking football scores, so...

I suspect Republican voters are less likely to answer their phones when the pollsters call.

 

[martybegan]

I'm factoring in the possibility that there will be a percentage of people who won't admit to pollsters that they're voting for Trump, as before.

Overall though, my record at picking elections is roughly equal to my record of picking football scores, so...

Knocked out of both my knockout picks two weeks in, so I know the feeling.

3-0 in one fantasy league, 0-3 in another, and a stunning .500 in my weekly picks with the spread.

I'd be better off picking things using a dart board.

 

[Zincwarrior]

276 / 262
with Trump taking Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. Harris taking PA.
PA and NC could switch and effectively the same.

 

[JWBooth]

538 - 0 for Lockheed Martin/Goldman Sachs/Likud

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Both sides dreaming... we'll know in November

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Harris wins. Republicans lose the House. Republicans gain the Senate 51-49

 

[boevans]

273 to 265 Democratic.

 

[JoeMoma]

Both sides dreaming... we'll know in November

We will know in November if we are lucky!

 

[Vrenn]

Harris wins. Republicans lose the House. Republicans gain the Senate 51-49

View attachment 1017314

That's the way I read it. Also, we don't one party to own the Prez, House and senate. When one party does, the mischief raves.

 

[Fang]

Trump needs PA, MI or WI to get to 270. He'll win the other battleground states (AZ, GA, NC). I think Trump gets to 270-280 range depending on which of those 3 he wins. Nevada and VA go Harris.

Let's just say Trump wins PA.
Trump 280
Harris 257

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Oh gawd another sticky thread...

 

[Vrenn]

Trump needs PA, MI or WI to get to 270. He'll win the other battleground states (AZ, GA, NC). I think Trump gets to 270-280 range depending on which of those 3 he wins. Nevada and VA go Harris.

Let's just say Trump wins PA.
Trump 280
Harris 257

This only happens if the "Unicorn" happens. NOt saying it won't happen but the odds are slightly in favor of Harris winning with a 276 count.