Polls R US
- Thread starter JohnDB
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- Mar 31, 2009
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Any poll can be manipulated to achieve any result desired
JGalt
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- Mar 9, 2011
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The only poll that is going to matter is in November.
I was watching someone on tv the other day talking about poll reliability. According to him they're becoming more and more unrealistic than a few years ago but at least Real Clear uses an average of polls
That’s not a poll.
JohnDB
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- Jun 16, 2021
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- Thread starter
- #10
Yes it can...
But not all of them do.
As we get closer to election day itself they ALL try to be relevant by being accurate. (Because they want their jobs again in four years)
Statistics and analysis is BIG BUSINESS.
You are either right or wrong....those who are the most right win the most contracts for statistical analysis after the election.
Then there's the crap polls too just to try and influence people....as if polls do such a thing.
Currently outside of talking points is "energized" voters. How Trump's followers are extremely energized and motivated. Harris's are not.
Trump needs no "get out the vote" campaigns or vans....Harris does Because her voters can't drive, find transportation or read English.
JohnDB
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- #11
I'll agree....
For all the huff and puff about Harris and the polls moving her up over where Biden waa...she has yet to debate Trump.
So as has been said...it matters if people actually get out and vote by being motivated enough to do so...and lately Kamala has yet to give voters a reason to vote for her that resonates. So far all she has done has been to energize the Republicans.
JGalt
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About the same. It's sort of funny when Biden was running the dems were discussing dumping Harris. Lol
JGalt
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Her "honeymoon" period will soon be over. At this point they're desperately attacking Trump's VP pick but the more people find out the truth about Harris, the more he poll ratings will drop like a rock.
She couldn't even stay in the 2020 election as a candidate, and dropped out by 2019.
JohnDB
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- #19
One of the sampling issues with this election is those "likely voters" meaning those who are likely to actually vote.
The last General Election had a whopping increase in the percentage of citizens voting because everyone was under quarantine without much else to do to occupy their time.
This time around people are not under quarantine....but many of those who voted in the last Election are not going to this time around due to work, fatigue, vacation. Only those who are motivated/energized will vote as many are lackluster at best about voting.
The last General Election had a whopping increase in the percentage of citizens voting because everyone was under quarantine without much else to do to occupy their time.
This time around people are not under quarantine....but many of those who voted in the last Election are not going to this time around due to work, fatigue, vacation. Only those who are motivated/energized will vote as many are lackluster at best about voting.
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