aaronleland
Diamond Member
- May 19, 2012
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What a bunch of dopes.
Fox News accidentally broadcasts graphic showing they're the least trusted news source...
- Thread starter aaronleland
- Start date
What a bunch of dopes.
/-----/ Ahhh another fake poll of 803 random adults:
What a bunch of dopes.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from March 2 to 5, 2018 with 803 adults in the United States. The results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
IsaacNewton
Gold Member
- Jun 20, 2015
- 17,308
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What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
/----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
kiwiman127
Comfortably Moderate
Rasmussen poll: Americans give Fox News the Fake News Trophy
Rasmussen poll: Americans give Fox News the Fake News Trophy
Polls are only "Fake News", when they don't go the easily manipulated way.
Rasmussen poll: Americans give Fox News the Fake News Trophy
Polls are only "Fake News", when they don't go the easily manipulated way.
rightwinger
Award Winning USMB Paid Messageboard Poster
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Another clueless conservative with no concept of sampling/----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
View attachment 186981
bodecea
Diamond Member
- Banned
- #9
Psssssst! That's how polls work./----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
View attachment 186981
/----/ I've been educating you Libtards on polls since 2000 and you guys aren't very bright. This is how polls work:Psssssst! That's how polls work./----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
View attachment 186981
All adults vs. registered voters vs. likely voters
Trump has a fairly poor 43 percent approval rating — and a 51 percent disapproval rating — among polls of all American adults, but he improves to a 47 percent approval rating and a 49 percent disapproval rating among polls that survey registered voters or the narrower group of likely voters. That’s a reasonably big difference.
Consider a population of 60m electors in which 30,050,000 have an opinion A, and the rest opinion B. Now assume you accept some reasonable limitations on your sample size and you choose to poll 1,500 people at random to get a feel for public opinion. In the most generic of situations, an argument based on the theory of probability gives that on average, at least two in five polls (44 percent to be precise) will show that B is leading with at least 50.1 percent of the vote share. In other words, two in five polls will give the wrong answer.
Now consider the same situation with a random sample of 6,000. Again, at least three out of ten polls will show the wrong camp in the lead. There is a definite improvement as we increase the sample size – this is because larger independent samples lead to better approximations. This is the effect of what is known to mathematicians as the “strong law of large numbers” and the “central limit theorem”.
As an extreme case, consider a forbiddingly large sample of 600,000. Then the probability of a poll not giving the correct outcome is less than 0.2 percent, so only one in 500 polls is expected to be wrong. With a sample size this large, the probability of error is what is called a large deviation – incredibly rare.
Can opinion polls ever be accurate? Probably not
/----- Do you actually read the links you post or grab the headlines?
A new poll from the conservative-leaning Rasmussen finds 40 percent of respondents think Fox News should get the Fake News Trophy, which was first suggested by President Trump earlier this week in a tweet. That means 60% don't think FOX should get the fake news award. AND 60% IS GREATER THAN 40%
aaronleland
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Because five other news organizations were included in the poll. They came in last out of six with 40%.
Fugazi
Silver Member
- Jan 22, 2015
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When there are more than 2 options, 40% can still be #1.
If you are still confused by this, proceed to your nearest grade 6 classroom, they will explain it to you.
depotoo
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Only 3 included, CNN, Fox and MSNBC
aaronleland
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depotoo
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aaronleland
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You misunderstand. We were discussing the Rasmussen poll Kiwiman linked to. Not the Monmouth poll shown in the OP.
rightwinger
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Polls are accurate within their sampling error/----/ I've been educating you Libtards on polls since 2000 and you guys aren't very bright. This is how polls work:Psssssst! That's how polls work./----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
View attachment 186981
All adults vs. registered voters vs. likely voters
Trump has a fairly poor 43 percent approval rating — and a 51 percent disapproval rating — among polls of all American adults, but he improves to a 47 percent approval rating and a 49 percent disapproval rating among polls that survey registered voters or the narrower group of likely voters. That’s a reasonably big difference.
Consider a population of 60m electors in which 30,050,000 have an opinion A, and the rest opinion B. Now assume you accept some reasonable limitations on your sample size and you choose to poll 1,500 people at random to get a feel for public opinion. In the most generic of situations, an argument based on the theory of probability gives that on average, at least two in five polls (44 percent to be precise) will show that B is leading with at least 50.1 percent of the vote share. In other words, two in five polls will give the wrong answer.
Now consider the same situation with a random sample of 6,000. Again, at least three out of ten polls will show the wrong camp in the lead. There is a definite improvement as we increase the sample size – this is because larger independent samples lead to better approximations. This is the effect of what is known to mathematicians as the “strong law of large numbers” and the “central limit theorem”.
As an extreme case, consider a forbiddingly large sample of 600,000. Then the probability of a poll not giving the correct outcome is less than 0.2 percent, so only one in 500 polls is expected to be wrong. With a sample size this large, the probability of error is what is called a large deviation – incredibly rare.
Can opinion polls ever be accurate? Probably not
Smaller samples have larger sampling error. For a poll of one thousand, that error is usually within three percent.
If repeated polls yield the same result, that error decreases
/-----/ Like the polls that had Hillary winning by 12%Polls are accurate within their sampling error/----/ I've been educating you Libtards on polls since 2000 and you guys aren't very bright. This is how polls work:Psssssst! That's how polls work./----/ They are last among 803 random adults.
What a bunch of dopes.
The mantra at Fox "we're number last! we're number last!"
View attachment 186981
All adults vs. registered voters vs. likely voters
Trump has a fairly poor 43 percent approval rating — and a 51 percent disapproval rating — among polls of all American adults, but he improves to a 47 percent approval rating and a 49 percent disapproval rating among polls that survey registered voters or the narrower group of likely voters. That’s a reasonably big difference.
Consider a population of 60m electors in which 30,050,000 have an opinion A, and the rest opinion B. Now assume you accept some reasonable limitations on your sample size and you choose to poll 1,500 people at random to get a feel for public opinion. In the most generic of situations, an argument based on the theory of probability gives that on average, at least two in five polls (44 percent to be precise) will show that B is leading with at least 50.1 percent of the vote share. In other words, two in five polls will give the wrong answer.
Now consider the same situation with a random sample of 6,000. Again, at least three out of ten polls will show the wrong camp in the lead. There is a definite improvement as we increase the sample size – this is because larger independent samples lead to better approximations. This is the effect of what is known to mathematicians as the “strong law of large numbers” and the “central limit theorem”.
As an extreme case, consider a forbiddingly large sample of 600,000. Then the probability of a poll not giving the correct outcome is less than 0.2 percent, so only one in 500 polls is expected to be wrong. With a sample size this large, the probability of error is what is called a large deviation – incredibly rare.
Can opinion polls ever be accurate? Probably not
Smaller samples have larger sampling error. For a poll of one thousand, that error is usually within three percent.
If repeated polls yield the same result, that error decreases
kiwiman127
Comfortably Moderate
The there was a very active Fox News longtime commentator, who was a constant critic of Obama, who called Fox News a Trump propaganda machine.
But then, I would guess that you were aware of this, but I'd guess you ended up calling him a liberal, because that's what the easily manipulated Trumpsters do, as they live in their world of fantasy.
Fox News analyst quits, calling network ‘propaganda machine’ for Trump
Fox News analyst quits, calling network ‘propaganda machine’ for Trump
But then, I would guess that you were aware of this, but I'd guess you ended up calling him a liberal, because that's what the easily manipulated Trumpsters do, as they live in their world of fantasy.
Fox News analyst quits, calling network ‘propaganda machine’ for Trump
Fox News analyst quits, calling network ‘propaganda machine’ for Trump
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