Recent content by FistFullOfReason

I think the guy who calls Trump "Tramp", as if that somehow reflects on Trump at all. This thread is supposed to be concerned with the CDC numbers, right or wrong, not someone's opinion on what the numbers should be; especially someone who blatantly shows a desire to distort reality.

OK. I see what they did. They are going to include the probable from now on. My version of the data looks like this: Date---------Deaths to 4:00 ET on previous day-----Deaths in previous 24 hours 4/13/20----------------------21942-------------------------------------1456...

Are you going to ignore the "26,930" number, which is comparable to the previous numbers? The CDC gives both numbers. You could consider keeping both. The CDC might decide to fill-in the missing "probable" numbers.

"Meaningless" I don't agree. 'Not in the least. Look at those first five numbers: 2405, 2860, 3603, 4513, 5443. They told me something was happening. I was half-excited about it. I wrote about it right then on April 3rd. I predicted that the death toll three days later on April 6th would...

Someone said: "I also don't know how their covid 19 death count figures fit with the typical 34,000 and 61,000 flu deaths that we have seen in the last two years." And now Covid 19 looks like it might kill 30,000 of us (60,000 if you like the IHME projections). I would say the flu is to...

Hey, you have it right, EvMetro. Your numbers are consistent with the daily statistics reported by the CDC. I know because I have recorded the same numbers. Also, someone mentioned NCHS data and promulgated misinformation that the NCHS and CDC were the same somehow. From a link on the CDC...

This thread concerns CDC data: "Covid 19 deaths reported by cdc"

Jurisdictions reporting cases: 55 (50 states, District of Columbia, Guam, Puerto Rico, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) *As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This change was made to reflect an...

That's part of "data quality". Yeah, it is what it is. At least the CDC effort has recognizable characteristics of trying to get quality data. That's a lot more that I can say for the IHME people making the gov't's projections. My feeling is that the CDC has by far the best data.

So, I just guessed 20%. To clarify what I was saying, perhaps 80% of 1456 are the cases that can neither survive off respirators, nor survive on them, while 20%, or ~ 300 are the more acute deaths. That was just a guess, but the coincidental 310 illustrates my idea. Hopefully the numbers...

The drop to 1456 might be the start of a steeper decline. We aren't being told enough. The key is the effectiveness of the current treatment protocol. Notionally, 80% of these deaths are probably inevitable in the next 30 days because they represent people locked into a common pattern. The...

The news keeps talking about how horrible things are with the 2k deaths per day, but my take on it is that 1. The rate is now clearly linear, based on these CDC numbers; 2. These 2k deaths may be almost all people who have been on ventilators too long, and we may have solved that problem for...

I have a copy of a hospital protocol prepared by a medical facility back east in mid-March that shows patients are given HCQ if they have a temperature of 102F, and low blood ox. This protocol was obtained from a west-coast hospital near the end of March. What it shows is that...

We've now got: 4/11/20---18559------------------1989 4/12/20---20486------------------1927 I've been following this too. I was on another message board and I was saying that I saw a pattern in the death statistics back on April 3rd, same day you started this thread. Most of the others were...