Remodeling Maidiac
Diamond Member
- Banned
- #21
The Republican Party is 90% white. The race card is the first one they play.
And you are 90% ignorant, ignorance is the first thing you display.
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The Republican Party is 90% white. The race card is the first one they play.
By Mark Blumenthal
WASHINGTON -- With the race for president between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama now shifting into high gear, politicians, journalists and the general public are scrutinizing each new poll, with every small swing in one direction or another elevated to outsized importance.
Among the many polls released every day, one always stands out. The Gallup Poll is arguably the most trusted survey brand in the world, a name virtually synonymous with public opinion polling. It has measured presidential job approval and vote preference without interruption since the 1940s and now conducts a daily tracking poll that reaches more than 3,600 adults every week -- a volume of data that dwarfs that produced by other firms. As a result, Gallup's numbers enjoy unique influence and public prominence.
Over the past few years, however, polling junkies have noticed something curious: Gallup's polls have produced results that appear slightly but consistently more negative to President Obama than those produced by other firms.
The Huffington Post has conducted an independent analysis that confirms the phenomenon and points to a likely explanation. The problem lies in the way that Gallup handles the racial composition of its samples, and the findings highlight significant issues with how polls are developed and conducted today.
Much More: Race Matters: Why Gallup Polls Find Less Support For President Obama
NOTE: This is very interesting if you care about the reliability of the Obama/Romney polls. The above link is complete with charts/graphs and lots of live supporting links.
The Republican Party is 90% white. The race card is the first one they play.
...and not even Gallup can paper that one over anymore.
By Mark Blumenthal
WASHINGTON -- With the race for president between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama now shifting into high gear, politicians, journalists and the general public are scrutinizing each new poll, with every small swing in one direction or another elevated to outsized importance.
Among the many polls released every day, one always stands out. The Gallup Poll is arguably the most trusted survey brand in the world, a name virtually synonymous with public opinion polling. It has measured presidential job approval and vote preference without interruption since the 1940s and now conducts a daily tracking poll that reaches more than 3,600 adults every week -- a volume of data that dwarfs that produced by other firms. As a result, Gallup's numbers enjoy unique influence and public prominence.
Over the past few years, however, polling junkies have noticed something curious: Gallup's polls have produced results that appear slightly but consistently more negative to President Obama than those produced by other firms.
The Huffington Post has conducted an independent analysis that confirms the phenomenon and points to a likely explanation. The problem lies in the way that Gallup handles the racial composition of its samples, and the findings highlight significant issues with how polls are developed and conducted today.
Much More: Race Matters: Why Gallup Polls Find Less Support For President Obama
NOTE: This is very interesting if you care about the reliability of the Obama/Romney polls. The above link is complete with charts/graphs and lots of live supporting links.
I'd say because he's a total fuck up who can no longer pretend to be a fiscal Conservative and political moderate
What's your excuse for playing the derp card 94% of the time?The Republican Party is 90% white. The race card is the first one they play.
But if he was elected because he's black, why would it be wrong to boot him out for the same reason?Playing the race card on Gallup. Okay, then.
According to the OP, it's actually a failure on Gallup's part to adequately take race into account when conducting Obama/Romney polling - resulting in under-representation of black and Hispanic Americans.
But if he was elected because he's black, why would it be wrong to boot him out for the same reason?Playing the race card on Gallup. Okay, then.
According to the OP, it's actually a failure on Gallup's part to adequately take race into account when conducting Obama/Romney polling - resulting in under-representation of black and Hispanic Americans.
Oh, and the right doesn't? I intentionally post a mixture of substantive and rdean-esque threads to piss off wingnuts. By the way, rdean is no dummy. He is obviously more honest, intelligent, and better informed than most of the wingnuts on this board. There are very few on the right who post with honor.
redean is like a black hole when it comes to intelligence.
Over the past few years, however, polling junkies have noticed something curious: Gallup's polls have produced results that appear slightly but consistently more negative to President Obama than those produced by other firms.
The Huffington Post has conducted an independent analysis that confirms the phenomenon and points to a likely explanation. The problem lies in the way that Gallup handles the racial composition of its samples, and the findings highlight significant issues with how polls are developed and conducted today.
Playing the race card on Gallup. Okay, then.
If I read correctly, they are underrepresented because they are more likely not to have phones.
What percentage of people without phones vote, as compared to the voting percentages of people with phones? Is predictive use of the poll that seriously impacted by not considering who owns phones and not trying to readjust the poll demographics to more closely match census demographics?
I don't know, but certainly some percentage of them do vote - likely for Obama.
By filtering out the non-telephone households, Gallup slightly underestimates the number of blacks and Hispanics in the full population.
Polls don't know............think Wisconsin, especially the exit polls.
Obama is just not going to be the first black president ever again. The novelty is gone, we know what he's made of and he's just not as "cool" as he once was. Wonder where his "Choom Gang" got off to?? I'll bet he'll be looking for them come Jan 21, 2013.
Playing the race card on Gallup. Okay, then.
According to the OP, it's actually a failure on Gallup's part to adequately take race into account when conducting Obama/Romney polling - resulting in under-representation of black and Hispanic Americans.
People are not willing to tell a pollster that they won't be voting for the black guy this time around.
It is called the Bradley Effect.
This will be a rout.