http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10230233 This piece roughly correlates with how I think the '08 elections are going to pan out. It seems to me that the Republican Presidential Candidate is going to face several structural issues in the electorate that, in my opinion, almost entirely preclude a Republican victory. The biggest problems I see facing the Republicans as we head into 2008 are namely the widespread dissatisfaction with the current President,the tainted image the Republican brand now associates with candidates, the mass defection of business minded voters and donors to the Democratic party- as evidenced by the huge sums of money the Democrats are raising- the general sense of alienation among Christian conservatives, the leftward shift in Ohio along with several other key Republican states and the conservative contest to see who can piss off the Latino vote the most that seems to have obliterated the Republican gains of the Bush years within that group. The situation only gets worse when we shift the lens to Congress. While the Republicans might be able to minimize the damage in the House, I can't see anything but a rout in the Senate.