This may be the biggest upset of this 2010 mid-term election. Tom Tancredo running as a 3rd party gubanatorial candidate in Colorado is within 1-3 points of democrat John Hickenlooper. On election eve--a FOX news poll is showing Tancredo withing 3 points of Hickenlooper. The Numbers: Currently there are 850,000 registered Republicans in the state of Colorado--compared to 790,000 registered Democrats--therefore a 70,000 vote advantage for Republicans. Todays news by Gallop showing an historic 15 point movement by independent voters--whom plan to vote for conservatives this year--also point to a Tancredo win in this state. To note also--that conservatives (independent and democrat conservatives) are jumping through fire-hoops to vote this year--while democrats are far behind early voters. It is expected that Republicans will have much more voter turn-out than democrats this year. Estimates are 59% of republicans versus 39% of democrats. Republicans Hold Wide Lead in Key Voter Turnout Measure Hickenlooper with feet up on desk--never thought this race could be this close--believing that Dan Maes--republican candidate and Tom Tancredo--independent would split the conservative vote in this state--and it would be a cake-walk into the governors office for Hickenlooper. Now it's too late for Hickenlooper to do anything about it. While every polling agency has been making phone calls--not many have looked at the "numbers" except a republican polling agency who is now calling this race for Tancredo by 2 points. Magellen gives the data he is using to call this race--while others don't. Gasp! Pollster says Tancredo wins it by 2 | The Spot ? Colorado politics and political news, information, analysis ? The Denver Post Then the final blow: Sarah Palin--on Monday November 1st endorsed Tom Tancredo for Governor of the State of Colorado.