I am sure you have heard alot about Iran lately. Here are some sorts on the whole problem. In September 2004 the US agreed to sent Israel a bunch of bunkerbusting bombs for their F18. http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/09/21/1095651323300.html?oneclick=true They made it public so that Iran knows that the Us is widening its option against Iran's nuclear program by arming the proxy Israel. The latest leak of reconnaissance missions in Iran is for the same reason. To make it clear to Iran that the US is serious and ready. So either Iran becomes the yes man in the proxy diplomacy the Europeans carry out or else..... http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4180087.stm notice how they not totally deny the claims. I assume because they want them to know. Iran plays on time and on the fact that the US has all troops it has already deployed in Iraq. If they could have sent in more troops they would have, but with recovery , rotation and support 150.000 is all there is. So Iran feels safe to say bring it on, because on the field the Us cant. http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=574&ncid=721&e=1&u=/nm/20050118/wl_nm/iran_usa_dc Thats why the Us and Israel have made it so public that they are ready for a quick air attack, like the one against the Iraqi reactor in 1981. http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/iraq/facility/osiraq.htm Difference is that Iran has its program better hidden and split up to several defended objective. On the other hand if even I am allowed to see potential nuclear sites on the news it gives a clear message to Iran to not get their hopes up. So in 2002 the Us gave some evidence of Iranian sites and continues to do so on the 24h news channels. Secret http://archives.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/meast/12/12/iran.nuclear/ I am not sure if Bush bluffs. Is he ready to take out the Iranian sites, that would encourage the Iranians to support the insurgence in both Iraq and Afghanistan. They already do to a degree, but it is more to position a more pro Iran friendly factions. Are the Iranian gonna call it. Bush can always play the Israel joker. Yeah that will not be popular with the Arabs but they can either fear you or like you. Fear seems the only option currently. Anyhow interesting how the politics play out on Iran currently. Because the Us has no formal contacts to Iran I assume Britain represents the US interest to the Iranians. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=1130301 Now when Bush visits Europe I am sure he ll press Germany and France to go aboard an embargo vs Iran to increase the pressure if there is no solution till then. If "Old Europe" wants to revitalize the transatlantic relations they will go along. Trade with Iran overall is not significant. While Germany as a strong export nation is more dependent on US goodwill than France you might see a little split on that topic. Either way, Pakistan and North Korea are enough, no more proliferation please. Maybe the US should consider to take out one of these desert sites with a tatical nuke to prove the point how serious the business is since 9/11. For that the president would need to seek the quiet pre support of the loyal opposition. Who knows if that is feasable. Either way after Iran gives up its nuke program or is forced to end it I forsee a change in attitude in Syria. North Korea is just too crazy to predict.