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I made this prediction over three months ago... It has gotten a bit more snow than I thought the region would get but its right on the money otherwise.One hundred inches!
Does anyone remember seeing this in long-term forecasts? Probably not.
Story @ Resort to open Friday after historic snowfall
Perception of climate change
Abstract
“Climate dice,” describing the chance of unusually warm or cool seasons, have become more and more “loaded” in the past 30 y, coincident with rapid global warming. The distribution of seasonal mean temperature anomalies has shifted toward higher temperatures and the range of anomalies has increased. An important change is the emergence of a category of summertime extremely hot outliers, more than three standard deviations (3σ) warmer than the climatology of the 1951–1980 base period. This hot extreme, which covered much less than 1% of Earth’s surface during the base period, now typically covers about 10% of the land area. It follows that we can state, with a high degree of confidence, that extreme anomalies such as those in Texas and Oklahoma in 2011 and Moscow in 2010 were a consequence of global warming because their likelihood in the absence of global warming was exceedingly small. We discuss practical implications of this substantial, growing, climate change.
The greatest barrier to public recognition of human-made climate change is probably the natural variability of local climate. How can a person discern long-term climate change, given the notorious variability of local weather and climate from day to day and year to year?
This question assumes great practical importance because of the need for the public to appreciate the significance of human-made global warming. Actions to stem emissions of the gases that cause global warming are unlikely to approach what is needed until the public recognizes that human-made climate change is underway and perceives that it will have unacceptable consequences if effective actions are not taken to slow the climate change. A recent survey in the United States (1) confirms that public opinion about the existence and importance of global warming depends strongly on their perceptions of recent local climate variations. Early public recognition of climate change is critical. Stabilizing climate with conditions resembling those of the Holocene, the world in which civilization developed, can only be achieved if rapid reduction of fossil fuel emissions begins soon (2).
Perception of climate change
Perception that many people are now beginning to see.
Hmmmmmmmmmmm........................ 75% of the earths surface covered in water, not many people living there. Many millions of people saw extremes here in the US when Harvey dumped 56" of rain in six days. Many millions of people saw extremes when we had back to back hurricanes that devastated islands in the Carribean.
It's not just Harvey. Deadly floods wreak havoc around world - CNN
(CNN)It's not just Texas. Severe floods around the world are washing through cities and villages, sweeping away homes and leaving a deadly toll.
Parts of South Asia were pounded by historic rainfall during the height of monsoon season last month. More than 1,200 people have been killed in India and Bangladesh and some 41 million have been affected by flooding since June, according to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.
Mumbai, India's financial capital, has been beset with unrelenting rain, that has turned its streets into rivers.
Billions saw unusual flooding this year. We shall see what the winter brings in tempreratures. October was exceptionally warm worldwide.
