Polling samples

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by thereisnospoon, Sep 19, 2012.

  1. thereisnospoon
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    thereisnospoon Gold Member

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    ..Polling samples are skewing results to Obama's favor.
    Some polls are as much as +15% democrat responders.
    Also many polls are "registered voters" rather than "likely voters". The latter category tend to vote GOP.
    Obama leads in skewed CBS poll weighted 13 percent in favor of Democrats - Spokane Conservative | Examiner.com
    How Biased Are Polls? - Katrina Trinko - National Review Online..
    The liberal media and of course the pollsters know they must change the narrative. They know the President cannot run on his record. Polls are being used as a weapon to discourage likely GOP voters to give up and stay away from the voting booth.
    It will not work.
     
  2. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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  3. VaYank5150
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    VaYank5150 Gold Member

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    That's it....it's the poor polling data. I am sure it has NOTHING to do with Romney's constant gaffes, nor his out of control campaign workers....
     
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  4. Gareyt17
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    Gareyt17 Active Member

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    YEP!


    On Real Clear Politics they cite a new AP poll that gives Obama a 1 point edge over Romney!


    BUT


    You have to look at the very bottom to find their sampling data regarding party affiliation for the respondents.


    In this poll they sampled, ready for it? 31% Democrat vs 22% Republican..

    A 9% differential yields a 1 point lead for Obama!

    http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK/AP-GfK Poll September 2012 Topline_1st release.pdf


    and yet these people continue to expect to be viewed with credibility?
     
  5. Saigon
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    Saigon Gold Member

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    So when the polls show Romney to lose by miles - the polls must be wrong!!

    Wonderful thread; very, very funny.
     
  6. Gareyt17
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    Gareyt17 Active Member

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    The sampling data is the sampling data......you can try to twist the reality all you want..it won't change the facts.
     
  7. Saigon
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    Saigon Gold Member

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    Exactly - and well said.


    President Obama 332 Governor Romney 206
     
  8. JustSomeGuy
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    JustSomeGuy Active Member

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    What (s)he is saying is that most polls are assuming a ridiculously high level of Democrat turnout versus Republican turnout (generally even worse than 2008) when chances are that you won't see such a big gap in this year's presidential election. Most polls are OVERSAMPLING Democrats and, even then, in most cases the polls are still within the margin of error. That's not a good sign for Obama.
     
  9. Saigon
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    Saigon Gold Member

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    Oh yes, that is what he is saying, I'm sure.

    But that does not explain why Other polls, such as Gallup, ALSO have Obama ahead.
     
  10. AmyNation
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    AmyNation Road Warrior Supporting Member

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    How do you know polls are over sampling democrats?
     

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