News Flash: 538 Blog's Nate Silver Is Fallible

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Dante, Oct 29, 2012.

  1. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    News Flash: 538 Blog's Nate Silver Is Fallible

    And so is every other pollster and analyst, so why is the right so intent on hanging what happens with a prediction from Nate's 538 Blog around the neck of everyone one to the left of the Tea Party?

    You will see the right wing attacking the source and that is expected, but what is more insidious is how they are setting up a narrative for a new talking point: Nate Silver was wrong and Democrats and all leftists (everyone to the left if the Tea Party) are stupid.

    ---

    Post that you like or believe in Nate's analysis and it falls on deaf ears. Post that you are betting on Nate's analysis in addition to the analysis of others, and it falls -- on deaf ears (must state obvious here, or else it will be misused by dense-as-brick wingnuts against me -- the 'deaf ears' is a metaphoric tool). See a pattern here?

    The right has a tactic of always hedging it's bets. It attacked Romney before his surge, so that they cold somehow say they did not select him - rinos did. The right is now laying the ground work to keep it's base alarmed and angry in the probability that Romney loses -- Obama wins. Watch for it. Armies of straw men will be leading the charge, along with brigades of red herrings and battalions of talking point memos filled with cognitive dissonance that only a Tea Party Whacko could love.

    :cool:

    Nate Silver is fallible. But he drives Right Wing World Crazy. :clap2:

    Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
     
  2. Billo_Really
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    Billo_Really Litre of the Band

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    This is the new "lunacy club" on the right-wing block of diminished grey matter. They are called...



    But there's a problem with this latest ruse of lies, it is Nate Silver's computer program he wrote that is 99.9% accurate in every election since 2008.

    But just like the birthers and the baggers, they're too stupid to even talk about this subject with anything close to a reasonable understanding of what they're criticizing. They're claiming the "program" he wrote, is "just his opinion" and he "tweaks the results" and the usual blah-blah ad hominems. However, contrary to their claims, all he does, is plug in the results from different state polls and the program does the rest.
    But what else can you expect from an entire party of people so dumb and partisanly blind, that they'd argue gravity plays no role in plane crashes? That's how stupid these people are.
     
  3. TallPine
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    TallPine Rookie

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    The typical republican is never restrained by the facts. If he or she does not agree with the 538 forecast then it must be fallible. No evidence or proof is required in the GOP world. Somethings cannot be imagined and then perceived as true. For example: 270.
     
  4. Amazed
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    Amazed BANNED

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    What these Ledty loons aren't saying is that Silver has the solid EV count at 185-180....
     
  5. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    Nate Silver's analysis is pretty good. So is Cassidy's Count

    The right is attacking each of them. Why not attack the analysis in a constructive way?
     
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  6. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    Right Wing World Hysterical and Foaming at the Asshole over this tidbit...


    NYT Pollster Nate Silver: 'I Don't Intend to Vote This Year'


    Only Nate Silver is an analyst, not a pollster. He does not have a poll. He analyzes polls.
     
  7. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    October 31, 2012, 10:38 am
    Oct. 30: What State Polls Suggest About the National Popular Vote
    By NATE SILVER
    Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

    Rational Irrationality : The New Yorker
    October 30, 2012
    Romney Has a Christie Problem and a FEMA Problem
    Posted by John Cassidy
     
  8. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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  9. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    :clap2:

    true.
    It is one thing to disagree with the guy, but to attack him out of right field just adds nothing to the debate
     
  10. Dante
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    Dante On leave Supporting Member

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    [​IMG]

    Cassidy's Count and Dante!!!


    [​IMG]
     

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