It would be unwise to intervene in Syria.

Discussion in 'Middle East - General' started by Artevelde, Jun 1, 2012.

  1. Artevelde
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    Artevelde Senior Member

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    There are several reasons why it would be unwise to intervene in Syria.
    First of all, what is happening in Syria is an internal conflict, which – so far at least – doesn’t threaten neighbouring countries or regional security. Obviously there is a limited impact in Lebanon, as well as a refugee problem on the Turkish side. There are also rumours of Al Qaeda involvement on the rebel side and Iranian involvement on the government side. But essentially it remains a conflict between opposing domestic Syrian forces. Outside intervention in such internal conflicts is – on the whole and in principle – unwarranted and unwise, as well as a violation of national sovereignty of course.
    Intervention is only warranted if there are vital interests at stake (such as regional security or other vital concerns). So-called “humanitarian” interventions are on the whole a recipe for disaster. They quickly cause more problems than they solve. The fact that the Assad regime is a brutal dictatorship that suppresses its people and is killing large numbers is – in and of itself – insufficient grounds for intervention.
    Secondly, the situation in Syria is actually very confused. Who are the rebels? What are they trying to achieve? What are the intentions of the Assad-regime (other than maintaining itself)? Is there a real alternative to the Assad-regime? Will the rebels be better or worse than Assad? In such a confused and unclear situation it would be very unwise to intervene.
    Thirdly, what would an intervention look like and what would it achieve? To be effective it would have to involve a major military campaign. But what is the road map to get to a stable regime afterwards?
    An intervention also risks spilling over very quickly into neighbouring countries (first of all Lebanon) and might lead to a much wider and more complicated conflict in which it would be very unclear who is fighting with whom and for what.
    It was a mistake to send in UN-observers and they should be withdrawn as quickly as possible. All they are are potential hostages for the regime and the rebels. We should let the Syrians sort this out. Only if the Syrian regime seeks to export its conflict to neighbouring countries do I see a reason for intervention.
     
  2. editec
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    editec Mr. Forgot-it-All

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    My website's slightly statistics are down because of the mess in Syria.

    Apparently until this civil strife started, CBO: Rosetta was the 275th most popular website in that country.

    Weird, huh?
     
  3. mudwhistle
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    mudwhistle Diamond Member

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    To be honest.....I think most of us don't give a flip.

    Whatever happens....it's gonna be bad.
     
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  4. waltky
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    waltky Wise ol' monkey Supporting Member

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    Granny says Obama oughta send Navy Seal Team 6 in to assassinate his sorry butt...
    :cool:
    Assad defiant as ever thanks to Russia: analysts
    4 June`12 — Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is determined to crush the rebellion against his regime, even at the cost of triggering a civil war in the country, bolstered by support from Moscow, analysts say.
     
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