RoccoR
Gold Member
et al,
I'm not sure what the Israels Strategic Affairs Minister and Deputy Prime Minsiter Moshe Yaalon, is actually saying yet. I know he is quoted as saying something to the effect that Israel will not rest until the centrifuges in Iran stop spinning; and that it may be that someone will have to take military action against Iran. But it is all vague. It may not be as big a threat to regional peace as it sounds.
I understand that there are many many Americans that are so pro-Israeli that they support and advocate "Acts of War" against Iran; regardless of the consequences regional or otherwise. While it is fairly clear that if Israel starts a region-wide war that would threaten all the oil and water facilities (critical infrastructure) in the Persian Gulf, Iran will not win militarily - the impact could have very far reaching effects that go well beyond the Persian Gulf customer base. And even if the US doesn't derive any oil from the Persian Gulf, there are many countries that do and the remaining oil producing regions will have to spread its oil out further to cover all the users.
Iran has played its cards very well. It would apear that without even having a nuclear weapons capacity, it has shaken Israel, the only Regional Nuclear Power, to the point of threatening open war; being the aggressor.
Iran, in retaliation, will undoubtedly strike-out in all directions, and attempt to close the straits; as well as target GCC Water Desalinization Plants and Oil Processing Facilities. Such events will play havoc on the economic scene, which is already troubled in Europe, Asia and the Atlantic region.
It is probably better to see what compromises the current P5+1 Talks with Iran develop.
Most Respectfully,
R
I'm not sure what the Israels Strategic Affairs Minister and Deputy Prime Minsiter Moshe Yaalon, is actually saying yet. I know he is quoted as saying something to the effect that Israel will not rest until the centrifuges in Iran stop spinning; and that it may be that someone will have to take military action against Iran. But it is all vague. It may not be as big a threat to regional peace as it sounds.
I understand that there are many many Americans that are so pro-Israeli that they support and advocate "Acts of War" against Iran; regardless of the consequences regional or otherwise. While it is fairly clear that if Israel starts a region-wide war that would threaten all the oil and water facilities (critical infrastructure) in the Persian Gulf, Iran will not win militarily - the impact could have very far reaching effects that go well beyond the Persian Gulf customer base. And even if the US doesn't derive any oil from the Persian Gulf, there are many countries that do and the remaining oil producing regions will have to spread its oil out further to cover all the users.
Iran has played its cards very well. It would apear that without even having a nuclear weapons capacity, it has shaken Israel, the only Regional Nuclear Power, to the point of threatening open war; being the aggressor.
Iran, in retaliation, will undoubtedly strike-out in all directions, and attempt to close the straits; as well as target GCC Water Desalinization Plants and Oil Processing Facilities. Such events will play havoc on the economic scene, which is already troubled in Europe, Asia and the Atlantic region.
It is probably better to see what compromises the current P5+1 Talks with Iran develop.
Most Respectfully,
R