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According to the Franklin and Marshall poll, which surveyed 1,143 residents of Pennsylvania, former Representative Pat Toomey--a Republican disciple of Steve Forbes and the Club for Growth--leads Democratic Senator Arlen Specter in the senate race by 44 to 34 percent among likely voters. He leads Democratic Representative Joe Sestak by 38 to 20 percent. If you want to get really worried about Democratic prospects, look at the breakdown. Toomey leads Specter among whites by 53 to 24 percent and among voters from union households by 44 to 41 percent. The only groups among whom Specter does well (besides registered Democrats) are non-whites and people with no religious affiliation. Hes got that vaunted McGovern coalition wrapped up. Sestak, of course, does even worse, but he is still an unknown quantity in Pennsylvania. Specter and Toomey, who has run before, are well known to Pennsylvania voters.
If you really want to get depressed, look at the findings about the Tea Party movement. Sixty-two percent of Pennsylvanians know something about the Tea Party movement. Of these, 85 percent of Republicans, 58 percent of Independents, and 28 percent of Democrats (!) either strongly or somewhat support the movement. You can say that most voters dont know how wacky some of the Tea Partys ideas are, but what they do know is that it stands in strident opposition to the Obama administration and the status quo in Washington. That should be enough to send shivers through the timbers of Democrats in Washington.
The data included in this release represent the
responses of 1143 adult residents of Pennsylvania, including 954 registered adults
(481 Democrats, 340 Republicans, 111 registered as Independent/Other, and 22 who
refused to identify party).
He is set till november, isn't he?
I was reading somewhere that he was loosing in the Dem primary. That wouldn't surprise me either.
Arlen Sphincter is a horse's ass of the first order. He was losing in the GOP primary and Pres Bush came and helped his campaign (wasn't this against Toomey? Cant recall). Sphincter won and then opposed Bush's policies, finally turning Democrat. He had cut a deal to retain his chairmanships. After he switched the Dums decided they weren't bound by that deal and stiffed him. What a sap. He deserves to lose. And Toomey deserves richly to win.
