Clinton How can Hillary lose?

Discussion in 'Hillary Clinton' started by vasuderatorrent, Sep 5, 2016.

  1. vasuderatorrent
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    vasuderatorrent VIP Member

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    I made my predictions for the upcoming election using the interactive electoral map from CNN. My analysis was based upon historical voting patterns of the states. I don't see how Donald Trump could win but I didn't expect him to win the Republican nomination either. He is a surprising guy that always exceeds our expectations. Anybody else have an alternate prediction?

    2016 Electoral Map (Interactive)

    I predict Hillary to win 328 to 210.
     
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  2. vasuderatorrent
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    vasuderatorrent VIP Member

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    North Carolina - Red
    New Hampshire - Red
    Georgia - Red
    Utah - Red
    Arizona - Red

    Nevada - Blue
    Colorado - Blue
    New Mexico - Blue
    Virginia - Blue
    Pennsylvania - Blue
    Michigan - Blue
    Wisconsin - Blue
    Florida - Blue
    Iowa - Blue
    Ohio - Blue

    Which one of those states did I guess incorrectly?
     
  3. Asclepias
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    Asclepias Work Hard Play Hard

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    Surprisingly you may want to change Arizona to blue.
     
  4. DarkFury
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    DarkFury Platinum Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Red
    New Mexico
    Pennsylvania
    Florida
    But most important
    California.

     
  5. vasuderatorrent
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    vasuderatorrent VIP Member

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    I expect Trump to surprise us. He wouldn't be the first Republican to win California. I think Pennsylvania is a possibility. This would require a low voter turnout in Philadelphia. Florida is impossible to predict but Bush 1 and Bush 2 have won Florida. Maybe it was a well known name. Hillary's name is stronger than Trump's. I expect Hillary to win Florida. I need some more convincing on Florida. I just don't see it.
     
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2016
  6. vasuderatorrent
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    vasuderatorrent VIP Member

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    That goes against historical data from 1992 - 2012. Do you expect California to remain blue?
     
  7. DarkFury
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    DarkFury Platinum Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Florida has a lot of unemployed NASA workers and related companies. Trump wants a new shuttle and that could mean MILLIONS and MILLIONS to Florida. He takes Florida.
     
  8. vasuderatorrent
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    vasuderatorrent VIP Member

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    The unemployment rate in Florida is on par with the rest of the United States. Unemployment rate in Florida is 5.6%. In the United States it is 5.4%. There is a heavy retired population in Florida. I'm not even sure the unemployment rate plays that big of a role. Hillary Clinton has branded herself as the sleazy politician that was in your brother's class in elementary school. We all feel like we know her. She's the girl that grew up down the street. Donald Trump is the confident billionaire. The girl that grew up down the street gives people a warm and fuzzy even if they know she always was a dishonest person even in elementary school.
     
  9. Moonglow
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    How can Hillary lose?

    By not being elected....
     
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  10. Moonglow
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    Moonglow Diamond Member

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    NW Arkansas's unemployment rate is 3%.Colorado's is 4%
     

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