william the wie
Gold Member
- Nov 18, 2009
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Dent and others are calling for a slight correction (less than 10% decline) then a rally until primarily food inflation derails it. There are two major problems with this scenario:
Food is not counted in published inflation numbers.
Most of the costs will be borne by importers of US foods: instant grits/polenta/cous-cous for example are generally processed in the importing country at less efficient domestic processing plants. Similar local differences in the processing of potatoes, wheat, rye, barley and oats also raise overseas prices.
Unless Russia, Argentina, Brazil, the Ukraine and Pakistan have much better than expected crop yields the US and its ethanol program will blamed for everything bad. This could lead to some very big economic problems.
Food is not counted in published inflation numbers.
Most of the costs will be borne by importers of US foods: instant grits/polenta/cous-cous for example are generally processed in the importing country at less efficient domestic processing plants. Similar local differences in the processing of potatoes, wheat, rye, barley and oats also raise overseas prices.
Unless Russia, Argentina, Brazil, the Ukraine and Pakistan have much better than expected crop yields the US and its ethanol program will blamed for everything bad. This could lead to some very big economic problems.
