FLASHBACK: Gallup Had Carter Up 4 Points Over Ronald Reagan in September 1980

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by 007, Sep 9, 2012.

  1. U2Edge
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    U2Edge VIP Member

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    It appears that from an average of polls in 1980, Reagan did maintain a lead. But in the Gallup poll things moved back and forth.

    In 2012, amazingly, Obama has survived terrible unemployment rates and has maintained a steady lead in both national polls as well as polls in the key battle ground states since February of this year. There was some tightening in August, but that was busted once the Democrats completed their convention.

    But now looking at Gallup's 7 day tracking poll, the race may be starting to tighten. Obama was out to 7 point lead in that poll about a week ago, but as of today that lead is down to 3. RCP average of polls gives him a 3.1 lead.

    The tough thing for Romney is that inspite of more Electoral College votes moving to read states because of population growth, the Electoral College is actually still set up in Obama's favor. If Obama just wins John Kerry's blue states from 2004, plus just 3 more states, Iowa, New Mexico, and Virginia for example, he wins the election.

    Wouldn't it be ironic if Romney won the popular vote but lost in the electoral college.
     
  2. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    Guy, Romney is well past the point of confronting the far right or getting it to behave at this point. That should have been done months ago. Instead he appeased it in every way.

    Either the economy is bad enough to put Romney over the top or it isn't.
     
  3. U2Edge
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    Another thing I forgot. The election will have to be really close, much closer than most people think for the Debates to have any impact. I don't think Obama or Romney are superstars in that format and I simply see their negatives and positives in the debates cancelling each other out meaning the debates will have no significant impact on the election.
     
  4. JakeStarkey
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    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    Use RCP if you want to be real about this.


     
  5. bigrebnc1775
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    bigrebnc1775 Diamond Member

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    Romney will toe the line of the right he will not allowed to do as obama has done, he will be a one term president if he does.
     
  6. JakeStarkey
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    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    Romney will not toe the far right, so that is why you guys are acting crazy here, letting Romney know that you will defeat him.

    What is happening is that you are guaranteeing an Obama re-election, and he has said he will mess up the GOP.

    Is that what you want?
     
  7. bigrebnc1775
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    bigrebnc1775 Diamond Member

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    He will not be allowed to be obama 2nd term and George bush 4th term.
     
  8. JakeStarkey
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    JakeStarkey Diamond Member Supporting Member

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    Thank you for admitting you will defeat Romney if he will not play to the crazee right.
     
  9. bigrebnc1775
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    bigrebnc1775 Diamond Member

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    Romney will not be allowed to be another obama or George Bush sorry he will be held on a tight right reign
     
  10. JakeStarkey
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    When he is elected, he will destroy the crazee right.

    I am glad you have removed the mask so we can see how crazee you guys are.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1

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