Evidence Obama WILL BE our next president

Discussion in 'Congress' started by DavidS, Nov 3, 2008.

  1. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    I am posting this for informational purposes only. I do not want to demoralize the Republicans, or make the Democrats on here complacent. You MUST go out and vote tomorrow.

    There's a lot of assumptions here, so let me list them. In order for Obama to be our next president of the United States:

    • He must win every single state that John Kerry won (he holds double digit leads in all of them except PA)
    • 95% of Republicans who have already voted in the states I'm about to list must have voted for John McCain
    • 85% of Democrats who have already in the states I'm about to list must have voted for Barack Obama
    • Independents must split 50% for Obama, 50% for McCain
    • ALL polling data shows Obama earning over 90% of his party's vote and McCain earning around 85% and Obama earning an average of 60-65% of the independent vote. I am using very conservative numbers.
    • The remaining percentage of voters who have not voted will split evenly between Obama and McCain
    • My numbers are based off of 2004 number of voters
    In 2004 - North Carolina had 3,552,449 people vote in the election. So far, 2,573,899 have voted, of which 51.5% have been Democrats (1,325,558), 30.1% have been Republicans (774,744) and 18.4% (473,597) have been Indepdents (473,597). 72.5% of North Carolina's 2004 numbers has already voted.

    Obama:
    Using my percentages, 85% of Democrats voting for Obama would be 1,126,724 votes for Obama. 5% of Republican votes would go for Obama, 38,737 and 50% of independents would have to go for Obama, 236,799 and 50% of the remaining number of votes from the 2004 numbers (978,550), go for Obama, 489,275. This would give Obama a total vote count of 1,891,535 for North Carolina.

    McCain:
    Using my percentages, 95% of Republicans voting for McCain would be 736,007, 15% of Democratic voters 198,834, 50% of independent, 236,799 and 50% of the remaining number of votes from the 2004 numbers 489,275. This would give McCain a total vote count of 1,660,915.

    This is a difference of 230,620 in favor of Obama, which would mean Obama would win North Carolina.


    Please look at the voting also going on in Nevada and New Mexico, which both heavily favor Obama. So if Obama wins North Carolina, Nevada, New Mexico and every single other state that Kerry won in 2000, he would win the election 277-261. This does not include Virginia or Iowa, which is polling very well for Obama.

    These numbers have been compiled by George Mason Universitiy's Michael McDonald. This isn't polling data, this is pure, hard facts.

    2008 Early Voting
     
  2. Silence
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    Silence wanna lick?

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    :clap2:

    I like cold hard facts!
     
  3. Truthmatters
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    Truthmatters BANNED

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    there may be hope for this country
     
  4. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    It's also important to say that many new registered voters from 2004 - 2008, go heavily in Obama's favor. So if more people vote in North Carolina in 2008 than 2004, the heavy odds are that they will go to Obama.
     
  5. Luc1
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    Luc1 Member

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    Don't you worry. I'll do my part to ensure he wins Nevada. ;)
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  6. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    Please do.
     
  7. mdjgirl7
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    mdjgirl7 Active Member

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    Let us hope and PRAY the MOST LIBERAL senator we have does not win. Wake up get a grip. Obama is a greedy liar and his RECORD proves it. It is like somebody put something in the water to make a lot of people just overlook his actions. I am stunned by this. Now it is not so unbelievable that when the Anti Christ gets here so many will just flock to him regardless of what he does. So many Americans are swayed by a pretty speech. They could care less if the person is a liar or not as long as they can promise whatever they want.

    Wow when did Americans get led astray like sheep. This is truly historical.

    I am going to say it one more time OBAMA DOES NOT CARE ABOUT YOU.

    [ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hP-YoB5mnZs]YouTube - Obama's forgotten people[/ame]

    He does not care his poverty stricken bother or his poverty stricken Aunt who lives HERE in the US. OMG wake up. Obama has not fixed his little district in Chicago. Somehow a lot of you people think Obama is going to change hiself. It is not going to happen. He is what he is a selfish greedy liar. Ask and you shall receive you are about to ask a greedy selfish liar to be our president. Get ready you are asking for it.
     
  8. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    aww how cute.

    He was never close to his father, his father left him when he was young. So why would you assume he was close to his father's half-sister?
     
  9. mdjgirl7
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    mdjgirl7 Active Member

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    All you have to do to be elected in this country is promise a free handout and boom you are in. You could be Charles Manson and boom you are in with the PROMISE of a free handout you don't actually have to do it just PROMISE it.
     
  10. bk1983
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    bk1983 Off too Kuwait..

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    Your fear of Obama has turned you into a sheep, and just another member of the herd.

    Collective fear stimulates herd instinct, and tends to produce ferocity toward those who are not regarded as members of the herd.
    -- Bertrand Russell
     

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