Electoral Map

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by clevergirl, Oct 25, 2012.

  1. clevergirl
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    clevergirl Gold Member

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    Latest Projection: Romney 327, Obama 211

    10/11/12

    Dick Morris says that if an incumbent cannot reach 50% in the polls, he'll likely lose.

    So I tabulated Obama's last three poll numbers by state.
    State Last 3 Polls Projected Winner
    COLORADO 47, 46, 49 Romney
    CONNECTICUT 51, 54, 54 Obama
    FLORIDA 48, 49, 46 Romney
    IOWA 49, 48, 51 Romney
    MICHIGAN 49, 46, 48 Romney
    MINNESOTA 53, 48, 51 Obama
    NEVADA 51, 47, 47 Romney
    NEW HAMPSHIRE 48, 47, 54 Romney
    NEW MEXICO 54, 51, 51 Obama
    NORTH CAROLINA 48, 41, 47 Romney
    OHIO 48, 45, 51 Romney
    PENNSYLVANIA 51, 50, 47 Romney
    VIRGINIA 47, 51, 50 Romney
    WISCONSIN 50, 51, 49 Obama

    Let's project that he'll win the state if he gets to 50% and lose otherwise. If you build the map using this data, Romney wins the 2012 election with 327 electoral votes!


    [​IMG]

    Read more at Latest Projection: Romney 327, Obama 211 [Click to see map]
     
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  2. Dreamy
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    Dreamy Silver Member

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    Much depends on the turnout.
     
  3. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    well if that happened the dems have to do massive inquest to lost landslide by that much. means would have lost michigan and pa according to that poll.
     
  4. Saigon
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    Saigon Gold Member

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    I think 327 is overly optimistic - I'm going to stick with my prediction that Obama will hit around 300.
     
  5. auditor0007
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    auditor0007 Gold Member

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    Damn, I guess it's over then.
     
  6. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    i don,t think romney win by that much. it close which he has a edge nationally
     
  7. AmyNation
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    AmyNation Road Warrior Supporting Member

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    That will never happen.

    I think Romney will win, but by a far smaller margin.
     
  8. Conservative
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    Conservative Type 40

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    pretty much this.

    Every time I look at things, it all seems to come down to OH.
     
  9. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    no doubt romney has edge

    if he wins va, nc and fi,co as expected then all he needs is following scenores
    (a) ohio
    (b) (not ohio) nv and iowa ( wins on a tie due to gop house)
    (c) (not ohio) nh,wi

    so he in strong position. but no doubt ohio a key swing state
     
  10. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    very true though romney can win without ohio. Obama must win ohio in my view though. without it be very hard.

    to be fair it be hard for both men without ohio but espeically the president.
     

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