In 1999, CENTCOM wargamed the invasion of Iraq and its aftermath. The conclusions were, in light of current events, prophetic and stunning. <blockquote>The report forewarned that regime change may cause regional instability by opening the doors to "rival forces bidding for power" which, in turn, could cause societal "fragmentation along religious and/or ethnic lines" and antagonize "aggressive neighbors." Further, the report illuminated worries that secure borders and a restoration of civil order may not be enough to stabilize Iraq if the replacement government were perceived as weak, subservient to outside powers, or out of touch with other regional governments. An exit strategy, the report said, would also be complicated by differing visions for a post-Saddam Iraq among those involved in the conflict.</blockquote> Golly, imagine that! Someone actually foresaw the consequences of the invasion of Iraq. <blockquote>Even more significantly, the former CENTCOM commander (<i>Gen Anthony Zinni</i>) noted that his plan had called for a force of 400,000 for the invasion -- <b>240,000 more than what Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld approved</b>. "We were concerned about the ability to get in there right away, to flood the towns and villages," USA Today quoted Zinni as saying in July 2003. "We knew the initial problem would be security." (<i>emphasis mine</i>)</blockquote> And to think, General Eric Shinseki was drummed out of the service for suggesting that, "...that several hundred thousand troops would be needed in postwar Iraq..." in contradiction to Rummy's assertion that a "...figure closer to 100,000 troops..." would suffice. But even with some 400,000 troops on the ground in Iraq, the report layed out a less than optimistic picture of events in a post-invasion Iraq and, thus far, the current situation in Iraq is proceeding as predicted in 1999. So, just remeber all those rosy predictions laid out by Chimpy and Co as to the out come in Iraq: <blockquote>"The notion that it would take several hundred thousand American troops just seems outlandish. - Paul Wolfowitz, 3/4/03</blockquote> <blockquote>"We will, in fact, be greeted as liberators. . . . I think it will go relatively quickly, . . . (in) weeks rather than months. - DIck Cheney, 3/16/03</blockquote> <blockquote>"It is unknowable how long that conflict will last. It could last six days, six weeks. I doubt six months. - Donald Rumsfeld, 2/7/03</blockquote> <blockquote>"What is, I think, reasonably certain is the idea that it would take several hundred thousand U.S. forces I think is far from the mark. - Donald Rumsfeld, 2/27/03</blockquote> So, when some GOP, right wing-nut mouthpiece suggests that "...We simply couldn't have foreseen this (<i>the current situation in Iraq</i>)..." you will now recognize it for the lie it is.