Old Rocks
Diamond Member
And if you were to read the whole context, you would see that he is speaking of the fact that the warming we are seeing is not as much as it should be by the models. So, is the extra heat being stored somewhere, is it being reflected, where is it?
In the meanwhile, we are seeing far more effects from the present rate of heating than any of the models predicted, or predict at present, for that matter.
In other words, you are entirely correct when you state we do not have a good handle on all that is going on in the climatic response to the very rapid increase in GHGs. Unfortunetly, the predictions of the alarmists seem to be rather conservative when compared to what we are seeing now in weather events and in the arctic.
I'm confused by your post. The warming is not as much as the models predict and yet the predictions are rather conservative?
How can the predictions be both too high and too low?
Then read it more carefully. The amount of heat that they have measured in the oceans is not as much as was expected. The amount of heating in the Arctic is far greater than expected. The amount of ice melted, ice caps and mountain glaciers, is more than expected. And the present weather events we are seeing were not expected to begin this soon.