oreo
Gold Member
Can incumbency overcome Obama's failed Presidency, to get reelected?
While incumbency is a big advantage, it can not be the only thing, just
ask Jimmy Carter or Bush senior.
Historically, unemployment around 7.2 or higher will probably do him in, come election time.
Granted, the Left will do the usually "blame Bush"; but this falls stale upon the voter's
ears because they know it is not true.
People prefer to vote for "something" not against
What can Papa Obama offer?
Hope and Change ? Will not work, since at this point in time, people are full of Hope that
administrations will Change
It does appear, if things do not change, Papa Obama is done
Of course, their is the "luck" factor
and sometimes a day can be a "lifetime in politics"
If history tells us anything--it's that Americans vote their wallets. Notable--GHW Bush had an approval rating in the 80% right after the 1st Gulf War--1 year prior to the election--we went through an almost a non-felt recession during the Clinton race--and Clinton pulled it off.
This economic crisis is much more serious than what happened to GHW Bush--so I imagine that this race will look more like the Carter/Reagan race--which will be over very early election eve--as the GOP candidate will win in a total knock-out that hasn't been seen since the Reagan era.
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