Can incumbency overcome Obama's failed Presidency, to get reelected?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Neotrotsky, Sep 3, 2011.

  1. Neotrotsky
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    Neotrotsky Council to Supreme Soviet

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    Can incumbency overcome Obama's failed Presidency, to get reelected?


    While incumbency is a big advantage, it can not be the only thing, just
    ask Jimmy Carter or Bush senior.

    Historically, unemployment around 7.2 or higher will probably do him in, come election time.

    Granted, the Left will do the usually "blame Bush"; but this falls stale upon the voter's
    ears because they know it is not true.

    People prefer to vote for "something" not against

    What can Papa Obama offer?

    Hope and Change ? Will not work, since at this point in time, people are full of Hope that
    administrations will Change

    It does appear, if things do not change, Papa Obama is done

    Of course, their is the "luck" factor
    and sometimes a day can be a "lifetime in politics"
     
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    Last edited: Sep 3, 2011
  2. dcbl
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    dcbl Good guys wear white hats

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    I sure hope not, but never forget that the masses are asses...

    Hope & change? I HOPE that I still have a little spare change left when Barry is through wrecking us...
     
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  3. Neotrotsky
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    Neotrotsky Council to Supreme Soviet

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    Yes

    but who better than the state to know how to spend that money


    Even now, we see Papa Obama had to reign in EPA from regulating
    the economy even more to death

    The voter will have to think about
    imagine what a 2nd term would mean, since he would have nothing to
    hold him back and it will be his last chance to impose his "vision"
    on the US
     
  4. Neotrotsky
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    Neotrotsky Council to Supreme Soviet

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    Since his speech will really be a campaign
    speech, we shall see how much hope and change
    is left
    :eusa_angel:
     
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  5. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    Only nine incumbant presidents have ever been voted out of office, but nearly all of them had economic problems.

    I think Obama can win under the following circumstances -

    1) The economy appears to make some recovery.
    2) The REpublicans nominate someone who is unelectable.

    Right now, I think the only person the GOP has who is electable is Rick Perry, and that assumes that there isn't some horrible thing that we don't know about the guy yet.
     
  6. Neotrotsky
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    Neotrotsky Council to Supreme Soviet

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    Histrionically, they say unemployment should be 7.2 or lower
     
  7. Zagg
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    Zagg small el libertarian

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    That's spot on, although I'm not sure that Rick Perry can win some of the heartland states he's going to need to take without some changes in his political persona.
     
  8. AquaAthena
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    AquaAthena INTJ/ENTJ

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    There is enough time left for many strange things to happen, and as long as the media are on his side, I make no predictions....
     
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  9. BlindBoo
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    BlindBoo Gold Member

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    Since the pseudo-conned have been claiming the Obama Presidency a failure from before it started, your viewpoint is hardly suprising.
     
  10. tonystewart1
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    tonystewart1 VIP Member

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    When a man goes into the voting booth he opens his wallet and looks. If there is more money in there than the last time he voted the incumbent gets his vote. If there is less he votes for change.

    I am not sure where I heard that.
     

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