TheGreatGatsby
Gold Member
I currently have Romney locked into 257 with the toss-up states Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Michigan, Pennsylvania still in play. Romney also has outside shots at Maine, Minnesota, NJ, Connecticut and Oregon and New Mexico.
Obviously, I'm very cautiously optimistic. Of course, on election night, I'll still be closely monitoring states like Virginia, Florida, NC and Colorado who I'm currently calling locked for Romney.
Ohio is in the Mitt column. PA, probably not (but still some shot for Mitt). Maine? Nah. Minnesota? No. NJ. No way. Ct? Unlikely.
Oregon? I don't t'ink so. NM? Doubtful.
BUT, MI? Yep. NH? Probable. VA, NC, FL are going to Mitt. As is CO. Throw in WI for good measure.
Mitt will win.
My locks are based upon the more credible polls. For everything else, if Romney is even as close as 5-8 points then I think it has to be considered. I believe that Romney voters are much more energized than Obama voters. Also, undecideds are more likely to go for Romney.