A blog, but many links to reputable sources. Such as the US Navy. Arctic News In conclusion, it looks like there will be no sea ice from August 2015 through to October 2015, while a further three months look set to reach zero in 2017, 2018 and 2019 (respectively July, November and June). Before the start of the year 2020, in other words, there will be zero sea ice for the six months from June through to November. And, events may unfold even more rapidly, as discussed earlier at Getting the picture. The image below, from the Naval Research Laboratory, shows the dramatic decline of sea ice thickness over the last 30 days.