CDZ 2014 Mid-Term Election returns thread

Discussion in 'Clean Debate Zone' started by Statistikhengst, Nov 3, 2014.

  1. WelfareQueen
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    WelfareQueen Platinum Member

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    What strikes me is how correct the polling data was in 2012 and how off it was in this election. The key States were known. There really is no excuse.

    And missing Virginia by over 9 points and the huge errors with polling in Kansas are not good. Most polls skewed significantly left.

    Again....Iowa, Kansas, Colorado, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia among others were significantly statistically off.
     
  2. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    EVERYONE called this election. What makes YOU special? Prove your claim, blowhard.
     
  3. Judicial review
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    Judicial review BANNED

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    Theres a big difference between the gop taking over the senate and a rout. Learn it.
     
  4. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    Still looking for the race by race predictions. Do you have them? If not...you need to stop bragging.
     
  5. Judicial review
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    Keep looking.
     
  6. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    Nope. It isn't there. You are full of shit. Next time......write it down and post your brilliance BEFORE the results come in. Just a tip.
     
  7. Judicial review
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    I did and you know exactly where it is but are just to damn stubborn to admit i was right and post it. Keep looking....
     
  8. WelfareQueen
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    I just did an analysis. Every key battleground State was off....most big....and all but one were heavily biased against the GOP.

    Don't let anyone one spin you....The Pollsters screwed up. This is exactly how far off they were.




    KS -11.5 off.

    AR -10.0 off

    VA -9.1 off

    AK -1.3 off

    IA -6.2 off

    CO -1.7 off

    NC -2.4 off

    GA -4.9 off

    LA -4.5 off

    NH +3.0 off This is the only State that had a GOP polling bias of the key States.



    Of the key States listed....The aggregate polling bias was -5.1% against the GOP.

    A huge failure and will need to be explained.
     
  9. LoneLaugher
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    Midterm polling is less accurate than presidential election year polling.
     
  10. WelfareQueen
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    Granted.....but this was a major screw up. Epic. Missing key races by 10+ points? Wow.
     

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