Which at this point wouldnt be a bad thing. IF we split between conservatives and moderates we would lose for awhile but ultimately, the moderates in the Democrat party would have more power to tell the extremists to back off. Thus a split could occur there eventually as well. We then would have 4 parties. Liberals, Democrats, Republicans, Conservatives.
Sure its a pipe dream that would take probably 50 to 60 years to get any head way on but its a nice theory.
Neither will get the nomination. So back to the question. Who is the new conservative leadership
We can narrow this down real quick. Which conservative has National appeal to both hardline and moderate conservatives?
I can't think of anyone off the top of my head that appeals to both.
I've heard nothing but good things about Tancredo. Unfortunately, IIRC, he has a past indiscretion he is unwilling to let the libs and MSM go into hyperdrive over.
The Democrats have been split since the 70s and to date your theory has not come to fruition. The last time the Republicans were split we had Bill Clinton for 8 years.