Trump (R-NY) is currently leading the GOP pack in NC...

Statistikhengst

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Nov 21, 2013
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Trump leads GOP field in North Carolina - Public Policy Polling
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_70815.pdf

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Donald Trump 16%
Scott Walker 12%
Jeb Bush 12%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Ben Carson 9%
Marco Rubio 9%
Rand Paul 7%
Ted Cruz 6%
Chris Christie 5%
Carly Fiorina 4%
Rick Perry 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
John Kasich 0%
George Pataki 0%

Margin: Trump +4, over Bush, Jeb.

But Trump loses NC to Hillary. LOL.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Ben Carson (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 44%

Scott Walker (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Rand Paul (R) 46%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Marco Rubio (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%


Carly Fiorina (R) 45%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%


Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Jeb Bush (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Chris Christie (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 44%


Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Ted Cruz (R) 46%


In NC, Hillary wins in the women's vote over Trump by +18. However, against Scott Walker, she only wins in the female vote by +4. That makes the difference. Now, imagine Hillary winning the womens' vote by about +20 or more on a national scale, because if she can win it by +18 in a Ruby-red state, just imagine what she is going to do on both the East and West Coasts.

So, yes, Donald Trump, please, by all means, keep doing what you are doing.

For the inexperienced, NC should be a rock-solid GOP state. Obama won it by just +0.33% in 2008 and Romney won it back by just +2.04% in 2008. There have been 25 polls of the Tarheel State in the last two years, with 109 matchups, most of which Hillary has won, but the margins have most all been very lean.

Alone the fact that the GOP is not already putting this state away by a +12 to +13 margin or so (Bush, 2000 and 2004) means that it's already in trouble.

FYI.

Go, Donnie, go!!!
 
Well, that's a sad commentary on the electorate, isn't it?
 
Add those up and you get 80%-plus want someone other than Rump. Even if it means sinking to another political novice like Carson or Fiorina, a nutball like Huckabee or Sanatorium, or another attention whore with a sense of entitlement like Boooosh.

With this many names it's a little like a car dealer selling two Yugos and one Volkswagen and concluding Yugos are twice as desirable as VWs.
 
Trump leads GOP field in North Carolina - Public Policy Polling
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_70815.pdf

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Donald Trump 16%
Scott Walker 12%
Jeb Bush 12%
Mike Huckabee 11%
Ben Carson 9%
Marco Rubio 9%
Rand Paul 7%
Ted Cruz 6%
Chris Christie 5%
Carly Fiorina 4%
Rick Perry 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
John Kasich 0%
George Pataki 0%

Margin: Trump +4, over Bush, Jeb.

But Trump loses NC to Hillary. LOL.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Ben Carson (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 44%

Scott Walker (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Rand Paul (R) 46%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Marco Rubio (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%


Carly Fiorina (R) 45%
Hillary Clinton (D) 45%


Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Jeb Bush (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Chris Christie (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 44%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Ted Cruz (R) 46%


In NC, Hillary wins in the women's vote over Trump by +18. However, against Scott Walker, she only wins in the female vote by +4. That makes the difference. Now, imagine Hillary winning the womens' vote by about +20 or more on a national scale, because if she can win it by +18 in a Ruby-red state, just imagine what she is going to do on both the East and West Coasts.

So, yes, Donald Trump, please, by all means, keep doing what you are doing.

For the inexperienced, NC should be a rock-solid GOP state. Obama won it by just +0.33% in 2008 and Romney won it back by just +2.04% in 2008. There have been 25 polls of the Tarheel State in the last two years, with 109 matchups, most of which Hillary has won, but the margins have most all been very lean.

Alone the fact that the GOP is not already putting this state away by a +12 to +13 margin or so (Bush, 2000 and 2004) means that it's already in trouble.

FYI.

Go, Donnie, go!!!


The other factor here, and really the biggest one, is that with the sole exception of Rump, every name on that list is one that a general-public random sample would know only if they followed politics, and in several cases (Carson, Kasich, Fiorina) you'd have to be a political junkie to even know who they are.

Contrast with a megalomaniac who can't get himself on TV often enough, and you end up with the same syndrome as the local entertainment newspaper that runs a "best of the city" list and includes arcane shit like "best injury lawyer" and everybody votes for Morris Bart on the basis of "I've heard of him". And you can't help having heard of the guy since he splashes himself on billboards everywhere in the city. This is politics as a marketing commodity --- Rump has already repeatedly referred to himself as "my brand". That's not an accident.

Exactly the same reason Bush and Huckabee have higher numbers (and exactly why Huckabee has maintained a presence on the same boob tube, at least within Fox Noise, without which he'd be an obscure ex-governor from several years ago that nobody remembers).

So to read such a poll as any kind of policy assent would be a very risky business indeed. Riskier than an Atlantic City casino, but with much the same pattern ---- big bombastic splash at first, followed by rapid decline and then complete failure.
 

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