http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2016/05/playing-the-white-option/
But victory in the general election is of course ultimately determined by electoral votes, not the popular vote. Trump would have to win 64 more electoral votes than Romney did in 2012 to get to the winning number of 270. Assuming he won all the states Romney won, he would have to add enough additional states to get to that number from the states Obama won, listed below in order of how much Trump would need to increase his share of the vote to win each state based on the 2012 results, when Romney won 61% of the White vote with a 64.1% White voter turnout.
Trump is playing a game that is going to be very difficult to win. Romney received 61% of the white vote. Donnie will need 66% of the white vote to have a chance. He is polling far below Romney with the Hispanic vote. He has a HUUUUGGEEEEE challenge.
But victory in the general election is of course ultimately determined by electoral votes, not the popular vote. Trump would have to win 64 more electoral votes than Romney did in 2012 to get to the winning number of 270. Assuming he won all the states Romney won, he would have to add enough additional states to get to that number from the states Obama won, listed below in order of how much Trump would need to increase his share of the vote to win each state based on the 2012 results, when Romney won 61% of the White vote with a 64.1% White voter turnout.
- Florida – 0.9% increase, 29 electoral votes
- Ohio – 2.4% increase, 18 electoral votes
- Virginia – 2.8% increase, 13 electoral votes
- Pennsylvania – 3.5% increase, 20 electoral votes
- New Hampshire – 3.6% increase, 4 electoral votes
- Colorado – 3.9% increase, 9 electoral votes
- Iowa – 3.9% increase, 6 electoral votes
- Wisconsin – 4.2% increase, 10 electoral votes
- Nevada – 4.4% increase, 6 electoral votes
- Minnesota – 5.1% increase, 10 electoral votes
- Michigan – 5.3% increase, 16 electoral votes
- New Mexico – 7.2% increase, 5 electoral votes
- Oregon – 7.9% increase, 7 electoral votes
- Washington – 8.7% increase, 12 electoral votes
- Maine – 9.1% increase, 4 electoral votes
- Illinois – 9.3% increase, 20 electoral votes
- Connecticut – 9.3% increase, 7 electoral votes
- New Jersey – 9.4% increase, 14 electoral votes
- Delaware – 10.1% increase, 3 electoral votes
- Massachusetts – 12.5% increase, 11 electoral votes
- California – 12.9% increase, 55 electoral votes
- Maryland – 14.1% increase, 10 electoral votes
- Rhode Island – 14.8% increase, 4 electoral votes
- New York – 14.9% increase, 29 electoral votes
- Vermont – 19.1% increase, 3 electoral votes
- Hawaii – 22.9% increase, 4 electoral votes
Trump is playing a game that is going to be very difficult to win. Romney received 61% of the white vote. Donnie will need 66% of the white vote to have a chance. He is polling far below Romney with the Hispanic vote. He has a HUUUUGGEEEEE challenge.