Russia Has Lost - The View from China

[Toro]

Excellent article from a former Chinese ambassador.

I. Russia’s position in the Russia-Ukraine war has became increasingly passive and unfavorable. Its coming defeat is already clear.


The main reasons why Russia is now heading towards defeat are:

1. Russia has been declining ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, a decline that is first of all a continuation of the pre-dissolution Soviet Union. It is also related to the failures of the internal and external policies of the Russian ruling clique. This process has been exacerbated by Western economic sanctions which have damaged sectors of the Russian economy. The so-called revival or revitalization of Russia under Putin’s leadership is false; it simply does not exist. Russia’s decline is evident in its economic, military, technological, political, and social spheres, and has had a serious negative impact on the Russian military and its war effort.
2. The failure of the Russian blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Russian defeat. The Russian military’s economic and financial strength, which are not commensurate with its status as a so-called military superpower, could not support a high-tech war costing hundreds of millions of dollars a day. The Russian army’s poverty-driven defeat was evident everywhere on the battlefield. Every day that the war is delayed is a heavy burden for Russia.
3. Russian military and economic advantages over Ukraine have been offset by the resilience of Ukraine and the huge, sustained and effective aid provided to Ukraine. The generational differences between Russia and the U.S. and other NATO countries in the areas of weapons and technology, military concepts, and modes of warfare make the advantages and disadvantages of both sides even more pronounced.
4. Modern wars are necessarily hybrid wars, covering military, economic, political, diplomatic, public opinion, propaganda, intelligence, and information. Russia is not only in a passive position on the battlefield, but has lost in other areas. This means that it is only a matter of time before Russia is finally. It is only a matter of time before Russia is finally defeated.
5. Russia can no longer decide when and how the war will end. Russia is trying to end the war as soon as possible so it can hold on to what it has gained. This has failed. In this sense, Russia has lost its strategic leadership and initiative.

2022: Fmr PRC Amb to Ukraine on Russia’s Impending Defeat and International Relations

In his now-censored May 2022 article Gao Yusheng, former PRC Ambassador to the Ukraine, explains why Russia is losing the war in Ukraine and the effect that may have on the international order. Gao…

gaodawei.wordpress.com

 

[Hang on Sloopy]

Excellent article from a former Chinese ambassador.

I. Russia’s position in the Russia-Ukraine war has became increasingly passive and unfavorable. Its coming defeat is already clear.


The main reasons why Russia is now heading towards defeat are:

1. Russia has been declining ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, a decline that is first of all a continuation of the pre-dissolution Soviet Union. It is also related to the failures of the internal and external policies of the Russian ruling clique. This process has been exacerbated by Western economic sanctions which have damaged sectors of the Russian economy. The so-called revival or revitalization of Russia under Putin’s leadership is false; it simply does not exist. Russia’s decline is evident in its economic, military, technological, political, and social spheres, and has had a serious negative impact on the Russian military and its war effort.
2. The failure of the Russian blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Russian defeat. The Russian military’s economic and financial strength, which are not commensurate with its status as a so-called military superpower, could not support a high-tech war costing hundreds of millions of dollars a day. The Russian army’s poverty-driven defeat was evident everywhere on the battlefield. Every day that the war is delayed is a heavy burden for Russia.
3. Russian military and economic advantages over Ukraine have been offset by the resilience of Ukraine and the huge, sustained and effective aid provided to Ukraine. The generational differences between Russia and the U.S. and other NATO countries in the areas of weapons and technology, military concepts, and modes of warfare make the advantages and disadvantages of both sides even more pronounced.
4. Modern wars are necessarily hybrid wars, covering military, economic, political, diplomatic, public opinion, propaganda, intelligence, and information. Russia is not only in a passive position on the battlefield, but has lost in other areas. This means that it is only a matter of time before Russia is finally. It is only a matter of time before Russia is finally defeated.
5. Russia can no longer decide when and how the war will end. Russia is trying to end the war as soon as possible so it can hold on to what it has gained. This has failed. In this sense, Russia has lost its strategic leadership and initiative.

2022: Fmr PRC Amb to Ukraine on Russia’s Impending Defeat and International Relations

In his now-censored May 2022 article Gao Yusheng, former PRC Ambassador to the Ukraine, explains why Russia is losing the war in Ukraine and the effect that may have on the international order. Gao…

gaodawei.wordpress.com

Let's keep pushing this guy.......keep pushing him...........................congress critter said we are AT WAR WITH RUSSIA.....................Let's keep poking him........Chiding him........................Laughing at him

 

[Coyote]

Let's keep pushing this guy.......keep pushing him...........................congress critter said we are AT WAR WITH RUSSIA.....................Let's keep poking him........Chiding him........................Laughing at him

As opposed to what?

 

[Lastamender]

Excellent article from a former Chinese ambassador.

I. Russia’s position in the Russia-Ukraine war has became increasingly passive and unfavorable. Its coming defeat is already clear.


The main reasons why Russia is now heading towards defeat are:

1. Russia has been declining ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, a decline that is first of all a continuation of the pre-dissolution Soviet Union. It is also related to the failures of the internal and external policies of the Russian ruling clique. This process has been exacerbated by Western economic sanctions which have damaged sectors of the Russian economy. The so-called revival or revitalization of Russia under Putin’s leadership is false; it simply does not exist. Russia’s decline is evident in its economic, military, technological, political, and social spheres, and has had a serious negative impact on the Russian military and its war effort.
2. The failure of the Russian blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Russian defeat. The Russian military’s economic and financial strength, which are not commensurate with its status as a so-called military superpower, could not support a high-tech war costing hundreds of millions of dollars a day. The Russian army’s poverty-driven defeat was evident everywhere on the battlefield. Every day that the war is delayed is a heavy burden for Russia.
3. Russian military and economic advantages over Ukraine have been offset by the resilience of Ukraine and the huge, sustained and effective aid provided to Ukraine. The generational differences between Russia and the U.S. and other NATO countries in the areas of weapons and technology, military concepts, and modes of warfare make the advantages and disadvantages of both sides even more pronounced.
4. Modern wars are necessarily hybrid wars, covering military, economic, political, diplomatic, public opinion, propaganda, intelligence, and information. Russia is not only in a passive position on the battlefield, but has lost in other areas. This means that it is only a matter of time before Russia is finally. It is only a matter of time before Russia is finally defeated.
5. Russia can no longer decide when and how the war will end. Russia is trying to end the war as soon as possible so it can hold on to what it has gained. This has failed. In this sense, Russia has lost its strategic leadership and initiative.

2022: Fmr PRC Amb to Ukraine on Russia’s Impending Defeat and International Relations

In his now-censored May 2022 article Gao Yusheng, former PRC Ambassador to the Ukraine, explains why Russia is losing the war in Ukraine and the effect that may have on the international order. Gao…

gaodawei.wordpress.com

A view from China posted in the Europe forum? No wonder nobody pays attention to you.

 

[Toro]

A view from China posted in the Europe forum? No wonder nobody pays attention to you.

LOL

Poor Lastdeadender. You’re ethno-Nationalist hero is getting his ass kicked.

 

[Toro]

 

[Lastamender]

LOL

Poor Lastdeadender. You’re ethno-Nationalist hero is getting his ass kicked.

I don't have a side in something that is none of our business. No NATO country was attacked.

 

[Toro]

Written three days after Putin’s illegal invasion.

 

[toomuchtime_]

I don't have a side in something that is none of our business. No NATO country was attacked.

That's exactly what Europe said when Hitler invaded Czechoslovakia saying it was to save the German speaking people there. The US and Europeans are sending military aid to Ukraine so that no NATO countries will be attacked.

 

[Lastamender]

That's exactly what Europe said when Hitler invaded Czechoslovakia saying it was to save the German speaking people there. The US and Europeans are sending military aid to Ukraine so that no NATO countries will be attacked.

I don't care about Hitler. This is not the same thing. You know very little about the world but thanks for trying.

 

[toomuchtime_]

I don't care about Hitler. This is not the same thing. You know very little about the world but thanks for trying.

Putin's invasion of Ukraine to save the Russian speaking people is exactly the same as Hitler's invasion of Czechoslovakia to save the German speaking people except that the German army was very efficient and the Russian army has shown itself to be so incompetent and corrupt that military experts around the world are astonished.

 

[Devils_Advocate]

As opposed to what?

Good Question because it is Putin that put himself into this position.

Do people believe we should just sit back and let Putin do whatever he wants?

If so then if Putin said tomorrow Alaska belong to Russia along with the Yukon Territory then should we just let him take and do nothing?

Putin owns his own mistakes and failures and should cut his losses and get out of the Ukraine…

 

[Toro]

 

[Toro]

 

[JimH52]

As opposed to what?

Pootin is a sick man, in body and in mind.

 

[Lastamender]

Pootin is a sick man, in body and in mind.

Got a lot in common, huh?

 

[JimH52]

Putin's invasion of Ukraine to save the Russian speaking people is exactly the same as Hitler's invasion of Czechoslovakia to save the German speaking people except that the German army was very efficient and the Russian army has shown itself to be so incompetent and corrupt that military experts around the world are astonished.

Soon...the "Russian Army" jokes will be making the late show circuits.

 

[krichton]

I'm astounded. They are stealing washing machines onboard a fucking attack helicopter?! Holy fuck.

 

[para bellum]

I'm astounded. They are stealing washing machines onboard a fucking attack helicopter?! Holy fuck.

Lol. It's a good pic but I think it's much too small to be a washing machine. The grass in that field is not that tall.

I'd guess avionics enclosure/LRU.

 

[Toro]