POLL: Cain, Romney and Perry all beat Obama

[francoHFW]

Poll: Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney All Beat Obama - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

you want a dose of reality?
DRUDGE REPORT: OBAMA PITTSBURGH 2008 VS. 2011

check that out

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

 

[JRK]

Poll: Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney All Beat Obama - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

you want a dose of reality?
DRUDGE REPORT: OBAMA PITTSBURGH 2008 VS. 2011

check that out

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

 

[francoHFW]

All polls but Fox and Rasmussen are left wing? You dittoheads are hilarious. Assume the posiyion. The jig is up.

 

[JRK]

All polls but Fox and Rasmussen are left wing? You dittoheads are hilarious. Assume the posiyion. The jig is up.

http://www.fordham.edu/images/acade...ccuracy in the 2008 presidential election.pdf
funny they were the most accurate when your boy won, dittohead? what does that have to do with accurate information?
Talk about the jig is up

 

[Toro]

Poll: Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney All Beat Obama - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

you want a dose of reality?
DRUDGE REPORT: OBAMA PITTSBURGH 2008 VS. 2011

check that out

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

Rasmussen was substantially off the mark in 2010.

Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.

Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well. ...

The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly - NYTimes.com

 

[jillian]

Left wing poll, but a link anyway, credit that

Answer me this, why is the approval @ 40%, the direction of country @ 19%, while over 50% of the same will vote for him for president?
I repect you poll and your effort. i think it wll be the most lop sided loss sense Mondale

because people disapprove of congress far more than they disapprove of the president. they blame congress for a lot of why things aren't getting fixed. so when they say they don't like the direction of the country, it could be they're saying they don't like things moving the way the House is moving them.

but they don't break it down like that.

The House? The house did not spend the 4 trillion dollars we did not have and get nothing in return
The house had nothing to do with Obama-care
The 6 million jobs we have lost sense 08 came in 2009 and 2010 whilt the dems were spending all of there capital on Obama-Care

Honestly, why in gods name would we want 4 more years of this?

you can get heated up all you want. i answered your question honestly. you can also pretend that this president was the cause and not the beneficiary of things done by the last administration.

or not.

and i'm particularly touched by your fiscal responsibility... when the "other party" has the presidency. didn't seem to trouble you much when bush cut taxes during wartime and ran two war's on the national credit card.

 

[francoHFW]

News for Poll: Obama up 5%Poll: Obama Leads GOP Field - 1 day ago
President Barack Obama leads the GOP's presidential hopefuls by 5 to 16 ... The poll also shows that Obama's approval rating is up 6 points from last month. ...Talk Radio News Service - 1641 related articles »

I just hate lyin' cheatin' elitist mega rich Pubs- and they're NOT here, only Pub dupes...

 

[Baron]

Poll: Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney All Beat Obama - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

you want a dose of reality?
DRUDGE REPORT: OBAMA PITTSBURGH 2008 VS. 2011

check that out

Everybody can beat loser Hussein Obama today, even RINOs.

 

[JRK]

because people disapprove of congress far more than they disapprove of the president. they blame congress for a lot of why things aren't getting fixed. so when they say they don't like the direction of the country, it could be they're saying they don't like things moving the way the House is moving them.

but they don't break it down like that.

The House? The house did not spend the 4 trillion dollars we did not have and get nothing in return
The house had nothing to do with Obama-care
The 6 million jobs we have lost sense 08 came in 2009 and 2010 whilt the dems were spending all of there capital on Obama-Care

Honestly, why in gods name would we want 4 more years of this?

you can get heated up all you want. i answered your question honestly. you can also pretend that this president was the cause and not the beneficiary of things done by the last administration.

or not.

and i'm particularly touched by your fiscal responsibility... when the "other party" has the presidency. didn't seem to trouble you much when bush cut taxes during wartime and ran two war's on the national credit card.

defending this country is a mandate of congress and the president, what was off budget is all of the entitlement programs that are not funded
From 02-07, GOP budgets we barley fot to 1 trillion in debt with 9-11, Clintons recession, & major hurricanes including katrina and 2 just as bad in Texas and nron

Cutting taxes was the right thing to do, it allowed me to bring home 25-30k more in the last 10 years. Spending os the problem, not our tax rate
Google 2007 budget then google 2010 budget and tell where all of our money os going

 

[JRK]

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

Rasmussen was substantially off the mark in 2010.

Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.

Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well. ...

The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly - NYTimes.com

Its funny they did no report on the 08 accuracy, and you saying 105 polls and missing the mark by less than 4 is biased?
Thats funny

 

[SAT]

Poll: Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney All Beat Obama - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

you want a dose of reality?
DRUDGE REPORT: OBAMA PITTSBURGH 2008 VS. 2011

check that out

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

Rasmussen is accurate when it comes to actual election day. They are notoriously right biased until that time.

 

[JRK]

New polls show Obama up 5% since new jobs bill+ fighting back, beating Pubs by 5-16%...-Stephanie Miller.

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

Rasmussen is accurate when it comes to actual election day. They are notoriously right biased until that time.

If you say so, I do not recall them being that way in 08 with Obama

 

[SAT]

If you say so, I do not recall them being that way in 08 with Obama

Nate Silver is my guru.

I think your poll showing Cain ahead of Obama is screwy. The only Pub who reliably gets tied or close to Obama is Romney.

 

[Toro]

With all of your hate within your thread no-one will ever take you serious bud.
Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot - Rasmussen Reports™

Has Obama down 5%, Most accurate for 08 election. Now tone down the hate dude, we area all americans

Rasmussen was substantially off the mark in 2010.

Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.

Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well. ...

The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly - NYTimes.com

Its funny they did no report on the 08 accuracy, and you saying 105 polls and missing the mark by less than 4 is biased?
Thats funny

It's not "funny" that they didn't report the 2008 election because this was an analysis of the 2010 election.

And yes, if you have 105 polls and you are consistently over-estimating one party by 4%, that is what is known in statistics as "bias."

A statistic is biased if it is calculated in such a way that it is systematically different from the population parameter of interest. The following lists some types of, or aspects of, bias which should not be considered mutually exclusive:

• Selection bias, where individuals or groups are more likely to take part in a research project than others, resulting in biased samples. This can also be termed Berksonian bias.[1]
• Spectrum bias arises from evaluating diagnostic tests on biased patient samples, leading to an overestimate of the sensitivity and specificity of the test.
• The bias of an estimator is the difference between an estimator's expectation and the true value of the parameter being estimated.
• Omitted-variable bias is the bias that appears in estimates of parameters in a regression analysis when the assumed specification is incorrect, in that it omits an independent variable that should be in the model.

In statistical hypothesis testing, a test is said to be unbiased when the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis is less than or equal to the significance level when the null hypothesis is true, and the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis is greater than or equal to the significance level when the alternative hypothesis is true,

Bias (statistics) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

 

[CT9]

I saw a poll that showed the exact opposite of this today

 

[JakeStarkey]

This morning. Stop the lies, hard right fascists.
ABC/WP: Romney 25, Cain 23, Perry 14, Gingrich 12, Paul 9
RCP Average 10/14 - 11/3 -- 25.5 23.0 11.0 9.8 8.2 3.5 1.5 1.2 Cain +2.5
RCP Average 10/6 - 11/2 -- 45.9 43.7 Obama +2.2

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

 

[JRK]

If you say so, I do not recall them being that way in 08 with Obama

Nate Silver is my guru.

I think your poll showing Cain ahead of Obama is screwy. The only Pub who reliably gets tied or close to Obama is Romney.

Newt is making a huge come back and should scare BHO the most by far, Perry is not done either
Herman Cain fits the template the country is looking for, of course the liberal media is doing all they can to destory him all ready, give it 50-50 to succeed

Reminds me of Thomas and his vetting to become a supreme court justice

 

[JakeStarkey]

Newt is making a 'small' comeback that is certainly not 'huge' at the moment. JRK's hopes are 'huge' will his evidence is 'small', as in others of his threads.

Newt is not a neo-con, disliked Bush's progressive right wing neo-con adventurism, and will certainly not do the same stupidities that way.