Ohio comes out of the toss-up category

[Greenbeard]

After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.

 

[candycorn]

Obama is ahead; no doubt. I think it is low single digits however. That being said; when poll after poll show the same result, "margin of error" is out the window.

 

[jillian]

Obama is ahead; no doubt. I think it is low single digits however. That being said; when poll after poll show the same result, "margin of error" is out the window.

its not out the window to the extent that a smaller edge is easier to lose than a larger one. i wonder how the right on this board will spin the fact that no republican has ever won without ohio.

today's RPC electoral college map, with ohio now in leans obama column

obama - 265
romney - 191

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

 

[Warrior102]

After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.

I don't think people in Ohio are as stupid as a poll would indicate.

Obama hasn't done jack-shit for them. Hell, he hasn't done jack-shit for anyone...

"Ohio’s jobs market stayed in neutral last month, making for consecutive months of no improvement after nearly a year of gains.

The Ohio unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent in August, unchanged from June and July, according to data released Friday by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. Prior to that, the state’s unemployment rate had fallen for 11 straight months, outpacing the national recovery."

Discouraged workers help keep Ohio?s unemployment rate at 7.2% in August - Columbus - Business First

 

[LoneLaugher]

"Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" is all Obama needs to win Ohio. And he's got the $$ to say it as often as he wants. Ohio is a done deal.

 

[jillian]

After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.

I don't think people in Ohio are as stupid as a poll would indicate.

Obama hasn't done jack-shit for them. Hell, he hasn't done jack-shit for anyone...

"Ohio’s jobs market stayed in neutral last month, making for consecutive months of no improvement after nearly a year of gains.

The Ohio unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent in August, unchanged from June and July, according to data released Friday by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. Prior to that, the state’s unemployment rate had fallen for 11 straight months, outpacing the national recovery."

Discouraged workers help keep Ohio?s unemployment rate at 7.2% in August - Columbus - Business First

most people don't have the abject hatred for the president that we see on this board.

and romney is a horrible candidate.

 

[Warrior102]

I don't hate Obama. I would personally love to sit down with him, have a beer, and tell him what a miserable failure he is as a president. I'm sure he's a nice enough guy.

 

[Dr.Traveler]

I don't hate Obama. I would personally love to sit down with him, have a beer, and tell him what a miserable failure he is as a president. I'm sure he's a nice enough guy.

That's pretty much how I felt about Bush. I could have never even been in the same room as Clinton.

As for the OP: Yeah, this isn't surprising. If Ohio has really and truly moved away from undecided to "leans" this is a really bad sign for Romney. A lot of GOP strategists were calling Ohio a "Must win" state. Romney's path to the Oval Office is pretty damn difficult without Ohio.

 

[AmyNation]

1 in every 8 jobs in Ohio depend on the auto industry. That's a big hurtle for Mitt to overcome.

 

[Warrior102]

1 in every 8 jobs in Ohio depend on the auto industry. That's a big hurtle for Mitt to overcome.

See post number 4, numbnuts.

It would appear it's Obama's hurdle, dumbass.

 

[Oddball]

RCP averages polls that are purposefully oversampling dems.

Nothing to see here.

 

[Warrior102]

RCP averages polls that are purposefully oversampling dems.

Of course they are, but you can't expect the average dumb-ass imbecile Libberhoid to see that.

 

[Old Rocks]

After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.

I don't think people in Ohio are as stupid as a poll would indicate.

Obama hasn't done jack-shit for them. Hell, he hasn't done jack-shit for anyone...

"Ohio’s jobs market stayed in neutral last month, making for consecutive months of no improvement after nearly a year of gains.

The Ohio unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent in August, unchanged from June and July, according to data released Friday by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. Prior to that, the state’s unemployment rate had fallen for 11 straight months, outpacing the national recovery."

Discouraged workers help keep Ohio?s unemployment rate at 7.2% in August - Columbus - Business First

LOL. At present, the President leads even in North Carolina.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama

Hell, if Romney and Ryan continue to yap, the President may be leading in Texas by November.

 

[Warrior102]

LOL. At present, the President leads even in North Carolina.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama

Hell, if Romney and Ryan continue to yap, the President may be leading in Texas by November.

Suck this, beaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaatch - Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

 

[Katzndogz]

After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.

I don't think people in Ohio are as stupid as a poll would indicate.

Obama hasn't done jack-shit for them. Hell, he hasn't done jack-shit for anyone...

"Ohio’s jobs market stayed in neutral last month, making for consecutive months of no improvement after nearly a year of gains.

The Ohio unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent in August, unchanged from June and July, according to data released Friday by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. Prior to that, the state’s unemployment rate had fallen for 11 straight months, outpacing the national recovery."

Discouraged workers help keep Ohio?s unemployment rate at 7.2% in August - Columbus - Business First

obama has done things for Ohio. He is closing a coal mines.

 

[Greenbeard]

Six weeks ago, the Columbus Dispatch found a tied race. Today they find a 9-point lead for Obama. Holy Christ.

Dispatch Poll: Obama widens lead as balloting starts | The Columbus Dispatch

A new Dispatch Poll shows him trailing President Barack Obama in bellwether Ohio by 9 points, 51 percent to 42 percent.

A surge of Democratic support for Obama has transformed the race since the first Dispatch Poll had the two dead-even at 45 percent just before the Republican National Convention in late August.

This brings Obama's lead in the RCP average to +5.9 in the Buckeye State.

 

[Joshuatree]

Greenbeard - Ohio moved from "toss up" to "leans Obama" - but what makes you think it won't move again to "toss up" or even "leans Romney"...

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Romney strategy: Ignore Greenbeard and other David Plouffe minions

 

[CrusaderFrank]

I want an Obamaphone

 

[Greenbeard]

Greenbeard - Ohio moved from "toss up" to "leans Obama" - but what makes you think it won't move again to "toss up" or even "leans Romney"...

The race hasn't exactly been bouncing back and forth. Romney has never led in the RCP average of polling in Ohio. His unfavorables are high, whereas Obama's job ratings are up (and he leads Romney on the economy). The fact of the matter is that Ohioans simply don't like Romney.