Annie
Diamond Member
- Nov 22, 2003
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We'll see. Plenty of links:
http://www.slate.com/id/2152629/
http://www.slate.com/id/2152629/
Surf's Down?Late polls show the Dem "wave" shrinking.
By Mickey Kaus
Updated Sunday, Nov. 5, 2006, at 5:16 PM ET
Tight Like That? A good tip from RCP's John McIntyre:
Keep an eye on the Gallup generic ballot number coming out tonight, if it shows movement similar to the ABC/WP poll there could be a big surprise brewing for many people cocooned in Washington.In 2002, remember, it was a generic ballot shift at the last minute--downplayed by the NYT's Adam Nagourney--that signaled a disappointing day for Democrats. I don't expect that to happen this time, but ...
Update: A Pew poll also shows a dramatic tightening-- from an 11 point Dem advantage a couple of weeks ago to a 4 point Dem advantage this weekend. One more example and it will be a Trend. ... P.S.: Generic polls may be lousy indicators of what's going to happen in 435 House races, and any individual generic poll could be right or wrong. But when several such polls point in the same direction, it would seem to have some weight at least on the question of who has momentum. I actually expected a last-minute shift to the Dems. ... Of course, the last minute has not arrived yet. ... 11:49 A.M.
All Hands on Deck! The Big Finish. ... 1:53 P.M.
Another polling triumph for Zogby. ... 8:18 P.M.