LA Times conflicting Poll/Projection

[PK1]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

 

[320 Years of History]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

 

[PK1]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

LA Times.

 

[320 Years of History]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

LA Times.

Never mind. I'm not going looking all over the LA Times website to find the two pieces of data you noted.

 

[Toro]

Probably the poll.

Here are all the other polls taken in the last 10 days from 538.

 

[PK1]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

LA Times.

Never mind. I'm not going looking all over the LA Times website to find the two pieces of data you noted.

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.

 

[NYcarbineer]

I predicted a Clinton win by 5, 322 electoral votes,

just to remind all the RWnuts around here who may want slam me if I'm wrong.

 

[Mac1958]

There's popular vote and there's electoral vote.

The two need not be congruent.
.

 

[320 Years of History]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

LA Times.

Never mind. I'm not going looking all over the LA Times website to find the two pieces of data you noted.

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.

TY.

Look at the dates of publication. The tracking poll information is current as of today. The other story is from two days ago. Also, if you look at the methodology of the tracking poll, you'll find that it reflects the responses of a fixed group of people. Their response to the poll question is tracked over time. Looking at the "final map" story, I see nothing indicating the prediction is based on the tracking poll's finding. Indeed, I see nothing indicating precisely on what that map is based.

 

[bendog]

The LA Times poll does not reflect what the editors think. It's been an outlier all along with it's showing of Trump strength.

 

[xyz]

Probably the poll.

Here are all the other polls taken in the last 10 days from 538.

View attachment 97443

Online polls are the least accurate.

 

[PK1]

Which latest POTUS voter "reflection" system is accurate ... in the correct direction?
One of them is wrong:

LA Times poll: Trump +5.6%;

LA Times electoral vote projection: Clinton 352, Trump 186

Sources of the data you cite?

LA Times.

Never mind. I'm not going looking all over the LA Times website to find the two pieces of data you noted.

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.

Look at the dates of publication. The tracking poll information is current as of today. The other story is from two days ago. Also, if you look at the methodology of the tracking poll, you'll find that it reflects the responses of a fixed group of people. Their response to the poll question is tracked over time. Looking at the "final map" story, I see nothing indicating the prediction is based on the tracking poll's finding. Indeed, I see nothing indicating precisely on what that map is based.

My understanding is the same as yours; the two voter "reflections" use different methodologies; although I have not yet inspected the Map's methodology, but it's obviously different.
After today, the more accurate one will surface ...

 

[PK1]

Perhaps this one will be most accurate:
ElectoralVote

Clinton
288

Trump
215

Dem-Senate
51

GOP-Senate
49

 

[PK1]

Looks like NEITHER poll was accurate!
Garbage in, garbage out.
The polling algorithms are worse than weather predictors.

Actual RESULTS:

Clinton
232

Trump
306

Dem-Senate
48

GOP-Senate
52