ISM Manufacturing Index Below 50 For 4th Straight Month

g5000

Diamond Member
Nov 26, 2011
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There are a lot of needles pointing at the astronomical debt bubble, but Deficit Donald's failing tariff war is the longest and closest needle to popping that bubble.

A key manufacturing index shows the US remains in contraction territory

Manufacturing activity continued to lag in November amid a decline in inventories and new orders, according to the latest ISM Manufacturing reading released Monday.

The reading came in at 48.1 vs. an expectation of 49.4 and the previous month’s reading of 48.3.

Though the level is usually reported as a simple number, it actually denotes the percentage of manufacturers planning to expand operations. A reading below 50 represents contraction; November was the fourth straight month below the expansion level.

<snip>

The report shows that manufacturing “is stuck in a mild recession with little prospect of a real near-term revival. This will weigh on job growth and capex over the next few months, to the point where we are not ready to rule out a further [Federal Reserve] easing in January,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in a note.
 
Manufacturing down and the stock market up. How's that work?
 
Manufacturing down and the stock market up. How's that work?
The stock market is down over 200 points today because of the ISM Manufacturing report, actually.
 
“The November PMI® registered 48.1 percent, a decrease of 0.2 percentage point from the October reading of 48.3 percent. The New Orders Index registered 47.2 percent, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points from the October reading of 49.1 percent. The Production Index registered 49.1 percent, up 2.9 percentage points compared to the October reading of 46.2 percent. The Backlog of Orders Index registered 43 percent, down 1.1 percentage points compared to the October reading of 44.1 percent. The Employment Index registered 46.6 percent, a 1.1-percentage point decrease from the October reading of 47.7 percent. The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 52 percent, a 2.5-percentage point increase from the October reading of 49.5 percent. The Inventories Index registered 45.5 percent, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points from the October reading of 48.9 percent. The Prices Index registered 46.7 percent, a 1.2-percentage point increase from the October reading of 45.5 percent. The New Export Orders Index registered 47.9 percent, a 2.5-percentage point decrease from the October reading of 50.4 percent. The Imports Index registered 48.3 percent, a 3-percentage point increase from the October reading of 45.3 percent.

Institute for Supply Management | Established in 1915

PMI® at 48.1%

GDP Growing at 1.5%
 
All the reports last week expected it to go up above 50.
This is a bigger deal than many will admit
 
There are a lot of needles pointing at the astronomical debt bubble, but Deficit Donald's failing tariff war is the longest and closest needle to popping that bubble.

A key manufacturing index shows the US remains in contraction territory

Manufacturing activity continued to lag in November amid a decline in inventories and new orders, according to the latest ISM Manufacturing reading released Monday.

The reading came in at 48.1 vs. an expectation of 49.4 and the previous month’s reading of 48.3.

Though the level is usually reported as a simple number, it actually denotes the percentage of manufacturers planning to expand operations. A reading below 50 represents contraction; November was the fourth straight month below the expansion level.

<snip>

The report shows that manufacturing “is stuck in a mild recession with little prospect of a real near-term revival. This will weigh on job growth and capex over the next few months, to the point where we are not ready to rule out a further [Federal Reserve] easing in January,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in a note.

ChiCom Quisling sez wha?
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
So you are arguing that manufacturing in America was strong three years ago?....your stance is we had a robust manufacturing base until Trump became president?...that is juvenile at best....
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
So you are arguing that manufacturing in America was strong three years ago?....your stance is we had a robust manufacturing base until Trump became president?...that is juvenile at best....
EbNBfEO.gif

.
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
So you are arguing that manufacturing in America was strong three years ago?....your stance is we had a robust manufacturing base until Trump became president?...that is juvenile at best....
Oh look, a straw man.
.
Oh look a pick and chooser of history.....
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
So you are arguing that manufacturing in America was strong three years ago?....your stance is we had a robust manufacturing base until Trump became president?...that is juvenile at best....
EbNBfEO.gif

.

ChiComs paying their bots to get American public opinion against Trump and make nice with China
 
We've been in a manufacturing recession for a while now.

The Trumpsters don't know that, of course, since they are willingly shielded and protected from contrary facts

Yeah like the past 35 years or so....Trump is trying to change that.....and is off to a good start by calling out China....wake up....
Um, no, this has just been the last few months.

Good god. Never mind.
.
So you are arguing that manufacturing in America was strong three years ago?....your stance is we had a robust manufacturing base until Trump became president?...that is juvenile at best....
Actually, the ISM index three years ago was 53.2. So yes, it was strong. Manufacturing was growing.

November 2016 Manufacturing ISM Report on Business | Noatum Logistics

Now it is receding.

Next question!
 

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