JohnStOnge
Member
- Jul 8, 2005
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Rather, the GOP is the party that is consistently supported by a modest majority of Whites in general while the Democratic Party's strength is in overwhelming support among non-Whites.
Even in this last election, which was conducted under very difficult circumstances for Republicans, the exit polling estimate is that McCain beat Obama by 55 - 43% among Whites. He beat him by an estimated 57-41% among White males and by an estimated 53-46% among White females. Exit polling data at Local Exit Polls - Election Center 2008 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com breaks voters into four age/race categories and McCain beat Obama by margins of at least an estimated 56-42% among every White age group except 18 - 29.
If you look at the way things break down in terms of electoral votes, exit polling clearly indicates that McCain won among Whites in 29 States accounting for 280 electoral votes (i.e., enough to win). Another four States, including Obama's home State of Illinois, were "statistical ties" in terms of how Whites voted. If you assume that whoever came out ahead in the estimates actually did receive the majority of votes among Whites, New Jersey and Maryland are in McCain's column and he won among Whites in 31 States accounting for 305 electoral votes.
So why did Obama win? Because, like any Democrat, he held an overwhelming edge among non-White voters. The exit polling estimate was 80 - 18%.
And, no, there's no evidence in exit pollling to suggest that the majority of Whites voted against Obama because of his race. Obama actually did better among Whites than Kerry did, as Bush beat Kerry by an estimated 58 - 41% among Whites. Also, if you study the exit polling results at the link I provided, you will see that most of the people who considered race of candidates important to how they voted selected Obama. It's more of a Party thing. Republicans have always beaten Democrats among Whites since at least as far back as 1976, and Democrats have won by overwhelming majorities among non-Whites every time since at least that far back as well.
Even in this last election, which was conducted under very difficult circumstances for Republicans, the exit polling estimate is that McCain beat Obama by 55 - 43% among Whites. He beat him by an estimated 57-41% among White males and by an estimated 53-46% among White females. Exit polling data at Local Exit Polls - Election Center 2008 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com breaks voters into four age/race categories and McCain beat Obama by margins of at least an estimated 56-42% among every White age group except 18 - 29.
If you look at the way things break down in terms of electoral votes, exit polling clearly indicates that McCain won among Whites in 29 States accounting for 280 electoral votes (i.e., enough to win). Another four States, including Obama's home State of Illinois, were "statistical ties" in terms of how Whites voted. If you assume that whoever came out ahead in the estimates actually did receive the majority of votes among Whites, New Jersey and Maryland are in McCain's column and he won among Whites in 31 States accounting for 305 electoral votes.
So why did Obama win? Because, like any Democrat, he held an overwhelming edge among non-White voters. The exit polling estimate was 80 - 18%.
And, no, there's no evidence in exit pollling to suggest that the majority of Whites voted against Obama because of his race. Obama actually did better among Whites than Kerry did, as Bush beat Kerry by an estimated 58 - 41% among Whites. Also, if you study the exit polling results at the link I provided, you will see that most of the people who considered race of candidates important to how they voted selected Obama. It's more of a Party thing. Republicans have always beaten Democrats among Whites since at least as far back as 1976, and Democrats have won by overwhelming majorities among non-Whites every time since at least that far back as well.
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