American_Jihad
Flaming Libs/Koranimals
I know it from the Puffington Post, Oh the horror, the horror...
The Democrats Are Headed for a Contested Convention Too
04/06/2016 09:32 am ET | Updated Apr 06, 2016
In the run-up to the Wisconsin primary, RealClearPolitics, the top polling aggregator in the United States, predicted that Bernie Sanders would win Wisconsin by 2.6 points. Harry Enten, one of the top analysts for the nation’s top standalone polling website, FiveThirtyEight.com, was a little more generous: he predicted a 5-point Sanders win.
Based on the data analyses I’ve been conducting over my last nineteen articles for The Huffington Post (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19), I predicted on social media yesterday afternoon — in preparation for this, my twentieth article on the Democratic primary race — that Bernie Sanders would defeat Hillary Clinton in the Wisconsin primary by 16 points (58 percent to 42 percent).
It may have seemed, on the face of it, a blindly partisan prediction, given that not a single poll in America had ever shown Sanders winning Wisconsin by more than 8 points — and indeed two polls released in just the last week actually showed Hillary Clinton in the lead in Wisconsin. While it’s true that I’ve been very transparent about supporting Senator Sanders in the primary race, my projection for Wisconsin was based on data — granted, data the mainstream media has ignored and various media personalities (Philip Bump of The Washington Post, Gideon Resnick of The Daily Beast, Nate Cohn of The New York Times, and the aforementioned Harry Enten, to name a few) have snarked repeatedly — and the data said to me that Sanders would win Wisconsin by far more than any poll anywhere had ever predicted.
...
But most importantly, the math would show, in this scenario, that not only had all the comparisons to the 2008 primary race been inapt, but that all the references to primary “math” as algebraic had occluded the fact that, in actuality, what we’re dealing with here is a very complicated — and deeply human — calculus.
And that calculus is leading the Democratic Party straight to a contested convention in Philadelphia this summer.
The Democrats Are Headed for a Contested Convention Too
The Democrats Are Headed for a Contested Convention Too
04/06/2016 09:32 am ET | Updated Apr 06, 2016
In the run-up to the Wisconsin primary, RealClearPolitics, the top polling aggregator in the United States, predicted that Bernie Sanders would win Wisconsin by 2.6 points. Harry Enten, one of the top analysts for the nation’s top standalone polling website, FiveThirtyEight.com, was a little more generous: he predicted a 5-point Sanders win.
Based on the data analyses I’ve been conducting over my last nineteen articles for The Huffington Post (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19), I predicted on social media yesterday afternoon — in preparation for this, my twentieth article on the Democratic primary race — that Bernie Sanders would defeat Hillary Clinton in the Wisconsin primary by 16 points (58 percent to 42 percent).
It may have seemed, on the face of it, a blindly partisan prediction, given that not a single poll in America had ever shown Sanders winning Wisconsin by more than 8 points — and indeed two polls released in just the last week actually showed Hillary Clinton in the lead in Wisconsin. While it’s true that I’ve been very transparent about supporting Senator Sanders in the primary race, my projection for Wisconsin was based on data — granted, data the mainstream media has ignored and various media personalities (Philip Bump of The Washington Post, Gideon Resnick of The Daily Beast, Nate Cohn of The New York Times, and the aforementioned Harry Enten, to name a few) have snarked repeatedly — and the data said to me that Sanders would win Wisconsin by far more than any poll anywhere had ever predicted.
...
But most importantly, the math would show, in this scenario, that not only had all the comparisons to the 2008 primary race been inapt, but that all the references to primary “math” as algebraic had occluded the fact that, in actuality, what we’re dealing with here is a very complicated — and deeply human — calculus.
And that calculus is leading the Democratic Party straight to a contested convention in Philadelphia this summer.
The Democrats Are Headed for a Contested Convention Too