Discussion in 'Congress' started by DavidS, Oct 19, 2008.
The trend on RCP has turned slightly for McCain. The average is now down to Obama+5.
Posting national polls has been fun, but at this point in the campaign the only thing that matters is EC votes.
If obama wanted to try to run his national poll number up to ten points he'd been campaigning in New York state and California. At this point, he doesn't care if he wins by 2 percent nationally, or eight percent. That has no bearing on the EC vote total.
The EC is getting more and more out of reach for McCain. The fact that Obama is campaigning in North Carolina, Virginia, and Indiana tells you all you need to know about the state of the race. And McCain is trying to defend red states.
Had to happen sometime, we agree. OTOH, the only poll and electoral count that matters will be 11/4 and after.
I would venture to say that a full third to a half of voters arent being picked up in the polls... #1. cell phones..#2. Only likely voters are being picked up. #3. New enrollees rarely show up in the poll numbers...
This is going to be an Obama landslide... I would even venture to say that SC could be in play ....
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