Obama 49.9 - McCain 45.1 Of course, Zogby is still using the traditional voter methods of even distribution between Republicans and Democrats. This is his flaw, as there more Democrats registered today than Republicans. This is why Gallup offers two models, traditional and expanded. Zogby joins IBD/TIPP and GWU Battleground in giving Obama a very low percentage. BigTen, Quinnipeac, Newsweek, Hotline and Ramussen give Obama between 8-13 points. Given that Zogby's margin of error is high, I'd still call this race around 6 points and will continue to do so until I see a majority of polls tightning.